April 29, 2025 – Below is the diary I kept for the first year of the Coronavirus pandemic, mostly detailing my horror at the president’s mishandling, which in my opinion cost the lives of hundreds of thousands of American citizens.
I’m including it in my “autobiography” because it was a significant part of my life.
I got vaccinated as soon as I could when it first became available and have been vaccinated every six months since then. I have never gotten Covid…. yet.
With his re-election in November, 2024, President Trump has dismantled many of the health agencies that would protect us from the next pandemic. It will happen, and he will be as responsible for that one as he was the first one.
Thursday, March 19, 2020
Following in the footsteps of Samuel Pepys or Boccaccio, I’m going to begin keeping a diary of what appears to be the greatest pandemic of my lifetime of 70 years. It remains to be seen if this one will supersede the great flu pandemic of 1918. I think it probably will not, but it does seem like it’s going to be bad enough in its own right, and it has certainly gripped this nation and the world in ways unseen since that one.
Back in late December, reports began to creep out of China that there was a new flu virus hitting the city of Wuhan. By mid-February it had peaked, with 81,000 cases and 3000 deaths, just as new cases were being reported in Iran, Italy and South Korea. These cases were soon greater in number than those in China, and from there, of course, the disease overspread the world.
As of today, there are over 191,000 cases world-wide with 7800 deaths, and here in the United States it can be found in all 50 states.
A major emphasis is being put on what is called “flattening the curve”. In other words, by taking early and stringent measures, which includes “social distancing” and massive testing of a nation’s population, a potential huge spike in cases that would overwhelm both medical and social services can be avoided.
This is what has seemed to work successfully in South Korea (8000 cases, 90 deaths and the curve diminishing) and why Italy is failing so spectacularly (36,000 cases, 3000 deaths with the curve still rising).
So where is the United States in all this? Currently we stand at 9500 cases, 155 deaths, but we seem poised to follow Italy’s model, much more than South Korea’s. Why?
Several reasons:
- Until one week ago, President Trump was publicly calling the virus a “Democrat hoax” designed to destroy his presidency.
- In a “cost-saving” move, the President in 2018 disbanded a special committee within the Center for Disease Control (CDC) designed to deal specifically with pandemics.
- The US historically relies on its own CDC-approved testing for these kinds of outbreaks (like SARS, swine flu and others that have periodically arisen). But this year something went horribly wrong with our testing, and the first wave of them malfunctioned. Instead of immediately contacting the World Health Organization (WHO) for their test formula, we went back to square one, the result being that we are just NOW beginning to get a significant number of tests into the places that need them most (which by now means just about everywhere).
- Because of the late response of the president, Americans have not been on board with the other most important part of conquering this disease: social distancing. Just yesterday we were seeing pictures of spring break beaches in Florida swarming with college students, and other scenes in cities across the U.S. of many people in close proximity. This is a combination of governors not taking action to order public facilities closed, and citizens simply not understanding the gravity of the situation. On the other hand, most institutions large and small have heeded the call. The NBA, MLB, NHL, NCAA and virtually every college, university and public and private school across the nation have canceled their seasons/shut their doors for the unforeseeable future. All “single-day” events (Daytona 500, Kentucky Derby, Indy 500 etc.) have been canceled. Virtually every business has ordered employees to work from home. All restaurants and bars are closed by order of governors. Grocery store shelves are empty of items like milk, bread, toilet paper, paper towels, disinfectant wipes, hand sanitizer. On a smaller and more personal level, all mountain bike races have been canceled or postponed. All of this is unprecedented in our history, and will have a massive impact on the economy: no one knows to what degree. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, which had risen from 19,732 on the last day of the Obama administration, and had peaked at over 29,000 during Trump’s three-plus years in office, closed yesterday at 19,898, wiping out all the gains of the past three years. Congress is dithering over what to do – pass legislation to bail out large corporations, or attempt to funnel money directly to the millions who are instantly unemployed.
Sadly, Republicans, now the party of President Trump, have tended to follow his lead, and in states led by Republican governors, or in churches led by Trumper pastors, the status quo has been held for far too long.
Here is a list of statements made by Trump prior to this date:
January 22: “We have it totally under control. It’s one person coming from China. We
have it under control. It’s going to be just fine.”
January 30: “We think we have it very well under control.”
February 10: “By April, you know in theory, when it gets a little warmer, it will miraculously
disappear.”
February 19: “Things are going to get progressively better as we go along.”
February 25: “If we go back six months, or even three months ago, nobody would ever have
predicted this.”
February 26: “When you have fifteen people, and the fifteen within a couple of days will down
to close to zero, uhh, that’s a pretty good job we’ve done.”
February 28: “They say, ohhh, you should do more; uhh, there’s nothing more you can do.”
February 28: “We haven’t seen an increase and people are getting better. Almost everybody that
we see is getting better. And it could be everybody, too.”
February 28 (at rally): “The Democrats are politicizing the coronavirus…. They can’t even count their votes in Iowa…. They tried the impeachment hoax. And this is their new hoax. But you know, we did something that’s been pretty amazing. We have fifteen people in this massive country…. The press is in hysteria mode. CNN – fake news – and the camera just went off!”
February 29: “Unfortunately, one person passed away overnight. Since the early stages of the foreign outbreak my administration has taken the most aggressive action in modern history. That really turned out to be a lifesaver in a sense. A big lifesaver.”
March 4: “Some people will have this at a very light level and won’t even go to a doctor or a hospital – they’ll get better.”
March 6: “Anybody that needs a test will get a test. They’re there. They have the tests. And the tests are beautiful… The tests are all perfect…. The transcription was all perfect.” (referring to the truncated Ukraine phone transcript of June, 2019)
March 10: “And we’re doing a great job with it, and it will go away…”
March 12: “…because of what I did, and the administration did with China, we have 32 deaths at this point. Other countries, other smaller countries, have many many deaths.”
March 15: “It’s a very contagious virus. It’s uh incredible. But it’s something we have tremendous control over.”
March 17: “I’ve always known this is a real… this is a pandemic. I felt it was a pandemic long before it was called a pandemic.”
March 18: “We have very great approval numbers. People like the job that we’re doing.”
March 19: “The only thing we weren’t prepared for was the media. The media has not treated it fairly.”
The result of all this? I fear the horse has left the barn. Without testing and without early social distancing, we are doomed to face (possibly/probably) the worst numbers of any industrialized nation (and God help West Africa*, where it seems to be just beginning). The spike in our own U.S. curve seems to indicate exactly this. The next week will tell the story. (*3/24/20 note: there may be early indications that warmer climates are being significantly less-effected than cooler climes. Still too early to say, but possible hope here.)
Here at home
We live in Naperville, Illinois. As late as this past weekend, bars and restaurants were filled with customers. Life seemed to be carrying on almost as usual. Too late. Too late.
Yesterday, we drove past the commuter parking lots – virtually empty. Downtown – virtually deserted. Every restaurant and bar closed and dark (some offering carry-out options).
Lois taught pandemics in her Modern World History classes for years. She has a particular fancy for bad shit: earthquakes, volcanoes, natural disasters of all types. Thank goodness. When this began to break out from China in early February, Lois began getting us ready.
There are four of us in this household: myself, Lois, Lois’s 84-year-old mother Mary Lou, and our friend 68-year-old Cathy Mosher. Mary Lou is coming off of foot surgery caused by a car accident in January, and just at the tail end of a bad cold. Cathy is quite sedentary – does not like or get any physical exercise, and breathes somewhat heavily just going up a flight of stairs. The mortality rate for people over 60 is off the charts compared to all ages below 60.
Our first priority is Mary Lou’s health. She is by far the most vulnerable member of the household. Cathy would be next. Lois and I, who both get a lot of exercise, are not overweight, and are basically some years younger than our ages, are last on the list. That’s not to say that I, at 70, am not concerned for myself and for Lois. This virus strikes the lungs, turning into a fast-developing pneumonia that requires respiration, without which death tends to follow quickly. Healthy lungs have an excellent chance against it. But both Lois and I have had pneumonia – Lois about 25 years ago, and mine a year ago. Chances of getting pneumonia again are greatly increased for those who have already had it.
A little more than two weeks ago Lois stocked up on supplies like paper toweling, toilet paper, and cleaning supplies. These are supplies that today are virtually impossible to find in the grocery stores (see above). More than a week ago we began what I would define as “semi-self-quarantining”, canceling any unnecessary appointments and going out only for necessities like milk. As of this week, we began drawing that quarantine tighter. For instance, when we run out of milk, we’ll do without it until we feel it’s safe to go to the store.
Lois and I have both been going outside for our exercise (Lois’s gym closed), but now are questioning that in light of an ABC World News report last evening that stated the virus can hang in the air for up to three hours. I had a conversation with a med school student* just this morning, however, who put me a bit at ease about that. A person would have to sneeze or cough violently (regular breathing wouldn’t do it) in a relatively closed indoor space for that “3-hour” rule to apply. Outside, even in still air, the virus would dissipate rapidly. (*former student Emily Temple-Wood, whose virus blog CoronaExtra appears to be going “viral” [sorry])
In order to support our local restaurants who face economic catastrophe, we decided to periodically order out for pick-up. I went two nights ago for Chinese. I was frankly nervous about it. I made certain not to touch the railing going up and down the stairs to the restaurant (and I usually use railings as a crutch). I pulled my sleeve down over my hand to open the door. I was relieved to see not a single other person in the restaurant other than the man behind the counter. I stayed back while he brought out our bag. I gingerly handed him the money and just as gingerly received the change. I picked up the bag at the handles, touching nothing else. When I got home I washed my hands thoroughly after pulling the food out of the bag.
This, by the way, the day before Illinois conducted its primary election, in which tens of thousands of citizens went to polling places. Idiocy on the part of our governor for not postponing or going to all-mail-in ballots, and idiocy for those who went to the polls. I was scheduled to be an election judge, but that was one of the “appointments” I canceled the week before. I don’t understand why any election judge (and they’re all like 95 years old) put themselves directly in the line of fire for a continuous 12 hours on Tuesday.
But there we are. The Dow Jones has dropped another 300 points this morning as of the opening bell a half hour ago. The US had 2800 new cases of coronavirus yesterday, up 66% from the day before.
Friday, March 20, 2020
Reporter: “What do you say to Americans who are watching you right now and are scared?
Trump: “I’d say that you’re a terrible reporter. That’s what I’d say. I think it’s a very nasty question. I’ve been right a lot. Let’s see what happens.”
U.S. – 15,771 cases, 204 deaths as of 11:30 a.m.
Dow Jones closed today at 19,173, a new low.
But over 19,600 cases and 264 deaths by 10:20 p.m. (Although numbers vary. CNN reporting 18,700 cases and 258 deaths. We seem to be entering a new phase now, with the numbers spiking upward in a rapid fashion. I wish I could describe how I felt. It’s not a gut-wrenching fear. It’s more the uncertainty of it all. In some ways I feel like I know more about the disease today than I did a few days ago when I was unsure about anything – was six feet far enough? could you catch it from someone who was just breathing normally? How long did it actually adhere to surfaces?
Now I feel like I have more of a handle on where and how I can go out, how to handle the necessary trip to the grocery store or over to Walgreen’s, heading out for a ride on the bike.
But… that uncertainty. Where is this going? Who is the first friend or family member who succumbs to the disease? Will it be me? Lois? One of our daughters? Sons-in-law? Cousins, nephews, nieces, grandchildren, etc. etc. It seems certain, certain now that someone in the family will get the disease. Maybe more than one.
Recording first person I know to possibly have Covid-19: Alicia Formato, daughter of our friends Matt and Gale Formato. Alicia lives in L.A., is sick with the symptoms… and cannot get tested. How many more friends and family will we hear of in the days to come?
The states of California, New York, Illinois and Connecticut (about 75 million Americans, or nearly one-quarter of the U.S. population are under governor’s orders to “shelter in place”. This means stay home except for going out for groceries, pharmacy, gas or restaurant pick-up. Nobody going to work, nobody taking the train, all restaurants closed for sit-down, all bars closed, all non-essential businesses closed.
BTW, my source for statistics is coming from https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/, a website that gets high marks for reliability and honesty. (I’m choosing it over Emily’s corona extra blog because it updates much more frequently.)
Saturday, March 21
The virus, which started in Wuhan, China in December now appears to be dissipating there. Today, Europe is the epicenter, with Italy the eye of the storm. Italy reported 672 deaths in yesterday’s 24-hour span, their highest number yet. We’re guessing the U.S. will be about two weeks behind this curve. And what happens when it starts hitting Africa and South America?
Today’s world totals sit at 277,000 cases and 11,500 deaths.
In the U.S. today, NYC is our epicenter and they appear to be getting slammed. In the space of just three days, they went from “things are okay” to hospitals being overwhelmed. And we’re at the front edge of this curve! Biggest problems now facing the healthcare system are lack of ventilators for patients and lack of face masks for responders. Both of these problems can be laid directly at the feet of the federal government under President Donald Trump. When we elected this incompetent fool in 2016, Lois and I hoped simply that we might get through four years without his doing real damage. Those hopes were not realized. Our hope now is that America will finally wake up from its experiment in electing a dangerously incompetent president and return to sanity in November.
There have been daily press conferences from the White House. When the president speaks, he is childish and petulant. More importantly, he has given information that his own experts, lined up behind him, have to step in and correct. The result is a lack of coherent message coming from the top. In yesterday’s press conference, an NBC reporter asked the president what he would say to assuage the fears of millions of Americans. The president’s response: “I’d tell them you’re a bad reporter. That’s a nasty question.” I know if you’re reading this years from now, that seems like an insane answer in a time of national crisis. It is, but this is the president America elected in 2016 because they wanted to overturn the system. Well, his voters got what they wanted.
How do you die from this virus? It begins with dry, hacking cough and fever (over 101). Extreme fatigue. No stomach cramps or other bowel issues associated with “regular” flu. Then it moves to pneumonia and that’s how it kills. As hospitals are overwhelmed with the need for respirators and ventilators, those who require them won’t get them. There are some very scary videos coming out of Italian hospitals. An antidote for the disease will take a year to a year-and-a-half to produce, though they do hope to be fast-tracking that. We’ll see.
11:30 a.m. – U.S. confirmed cases – 22,019, up about 6500 from yesterday at this time. That’s basically an increase of 1/3 in 25 hours.
U.S. deaths – 281, up 77 from yesterday at this time. 27% increase.
World confirmed cases: 290,322, up 13,000 from this morning
World Deaths: 11,962, up 350 from this morning.
10:45 p.m. – U.S. confirmed cases – 25,859, up approx. 4000 in 12 hours
U.S. deaths – 348 – up 65 in 12 hours
People critical of “over-reacting” to the virus should pay attention to these numbers.
Sunday, March 22 –
All churches closed, most doing livestreams in some form. Cannot imagine what the African-American church service is like with no call-and-response congregation and no choir.
Lois and I drove down to Swallow Cliffs so she could do the stairs. As we pulled up we realized the gates were closed and there were two squad cars there making sure no one got in. Makes sense on a weekend, I guess. Those stairs can get crowded, and the handrail…
Meanwhile DuPage Forest Preserve put out a “come on in” message yesterday, letting us know rest rooms would be closed and any manned facility would be closed, but the trails are available for walking, running and biking.
We saw our first virus testing station in a Walgreen’s parking lot in Bolingbrook on the way home. Small white tent with about five workers in full head-to-toe pandemic regalia.
Today’s stats as of 1:30 p.m.
U.S. cases – 32,356 – up 4,000 in the past 13 hours
U.S. deaths – 396 – up 48 in past 13 hours
The president spends a significant portion of each daily press briefing attacking the press for its “nasty questions”, “unfairness” and “fake news”. Other time is spent posing opinions which his medical experts then have to take the microphone to refute, refine or correct in some fashion. In short, he’s being exactly the kind of person he’s always been.
It’s clear today that tests are still in woefully short supply all over the nation, but especially in the hardest-hit areas. The masks that first responders need are continually promised by the president, but never seem to be actually supplied in anywhere near the numbers needed. Ventilators, the critical piece of equipment needed to keep the critically ill alive until they can pull through, are also in extremely short supply.
Monday, March 23, 2020
Fox News interviewer: “A month ago, the CDC had an initial test that failed. At that moment late February you said it’s perfect, and it wasn’t perfect.”
Trump: “What I said was perfect was my conversation with the head of the Ukraine. That’s what I really said was perfect. Okay, that was another whole scandal, nonsense, a total witch hunt. But nobody ever expected a thing like this….”
10:30 a.m. – U.S. – Cases – 35,232 – (up approx. 3000 in past 23 hours – slowing trend???)
Deaths – 459 – up 63 in past 23 hours – slowing trend???)
Today, reports indicate that the president is growing impatient with the lockdown orders. He’s concerned that unless we get people back working, the economy my suffer some kind of permanent damage. (Dow Jones down 605 to 18,568 as of 1:00 p.m.). At the same time we’re hearing Republican Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell accusing the Democrats of holding up the rescue package because (paraphrasing) “the economy is tanking as the Democrats dither”. In times of crisis, people (and political parties) display their true colors. So today we see the fundamental and stark difference between Democrats and Republicans displayed in both these men: for Republicans, it’s about the economy. For Democrats, it’s about human beings.
5:15 p.m. – U.S. – Cases – 43,033 (up 7790 cases in past 6 hrs. 45 minutes – uh oh)
Deaths – 530 – (up 71 in same amt. of time – also uh-oh)
I think we’re approaching a very important 3-5 day period here in the U.S. in which we may well discover whether we begin to “flatten the curve” as they say, or whether we go off the charts into an area unseen by any other nation to date.
History:
This virus started in the city of Wuhan, China and quickly ran rampant there. The totalitarian Chinese government (hard to know what to believe with them) clamped down with severe restrictions on movement. The virus killed over 3000 people there through January into February, but seems to have now quieted down. It’s possible it’s merely in a remission phase – we’ll find that out, I guess.
In the meantime, it spread to Iran and Italy, both nations very hard-hit. Again with Iran, a totalitarian regime, hard to know what to believe, but to date 23,000 cases and 1800 deaths (127 more just today). Italy with 64,000 cases and over 6000 dead, and seemingly far from over there.
Here, the first known case was near Sacramento, California. This case seemed to be a complete mystery… until it was discovered that the passengers from a cruise ship who were being quarantined at a military base near Sacramento were being greeted by a group of untrained and unequipped border patrol agents who had been taken off their duties guarding children of illegal immigrants at the Mexican border and whipped up to Sacramento. These workers were then allowed to leave the base each evening and go back into the community. Height of stupidity? Yes, but not a surprise.
The first real epicenter, though, was in Kirkland, Washington, centered in a nursing home there, where the disease ran rampant among residents and staff.
And then the jump to New York City, which is now going off the charts. This, of course, has massive ramifications. We’ll see where it goes.
Prediction: Florida, with a Republican governor resistant to closing the beaches during spring break and a huge senior citizen population, will become the worst. Also, any major city, including of course Chicago.
The U.S. seems to be about two weeks behind the Iranian/Italian curves, but as of this weekend, our curve appears to be spiking steeper than either of them at similar points in the development of the disease. Even a slightly sharper incline can mean the difference in hundreds of thousands of lives. There have been estimates that up to half the U.S. population may contract the virus. This would be 160 million cases at worst. With a 3% mortality rate, which seems to be our average so far, that would be 4,800,000 deaths… or just a shade above the 30-60,000 annual flu death rate the doubters (mostly Trump Republicans) like to taunt us with (ie., “There’s only 500 Americans dead. That’s NOTHING compared with the average number who die of the regular flu every year! Why are we panicking??”)
There was actually a Republican governor today who suggested that a few thousand older grandparents probably wouldn’t mind dying if it meant the economy could get turned around again.
Which reminds me, the market was down another 582 today to close at 18,591. Two months ago, Lois and I deposited $10,000 into a mutual fund account with Fidelity. I don’t even want to look to see what it’s worth. Same with our IRA’s. We’re in for the long haul, and some day this thing will turn around. How long will it take to recover back to 29,000? Maybe not in our lifetimes, but we’re fortunate in that our IRA’s are the back-up to our pensions. Now… if the pension funds go south…
Tuesday, March 24, 2020
12:40 p.m. – U.S. cases – 49,594 – up 6500 in past 17 hours – slightly slower pace
U.S. deaths – 622 – up 90 in same time – slightly slower pace
To be clear, our spike in new cases has more to do with increased testing perhaps than anything else, but the spike in deaths is another matter.
Meantime, China reports its first new cases (78) and deaths (7) in a week or more. Second phase beginning, or just a blip?
Italy still skyrocketing with 5900 new cases (a pace slightly lower than U.S. in numbers but not per capita) and 743 new deaths in the past 24 hours.
World – 407,696 cases, 18,251 deaths. In the past six days, the number of cases and deaths has slightly more than doubled. We’ll have to watch and see where this goes. The curve doesn’t look good.
3:30 p.m. – U.S. cases – 52,878, up 3300 in the past three hours
U.S. deaths – 682, up 60 in the past three hours (not good)
10:30 p.m. – U.S. cases – 54,867, up 2000 in the past seven hours
U.S. deaths – 782, up 100 in the past seven hours (definitely not good – we seem to be beginning the geometric progression.
Wednesday, March 25, 2020
5:40 p.m. – U.S. cases – 65,424 cases, up 9400 in the past 19 hours
U.S. deaths – 928 deaths – up 146 in past 19 hours (a bit leveling)
Thursday, March 26, 2020
“We’ve got to get back to work, and I think we can start by opening up certain parts of the country.”
2:20 p.m. – U.S. cases – 79,082 cases, up 13,500 cases in the past 19 hours
U.S. deaths – 1143, up 215 in the past 19 hours
It’s time to start breaking this down. These numbers are alarming, but they become more alarming when we realize that they aren’t spread evenly across the country. They tend to focus in large on specific “spots” – today those spots happen to be New York City, New Jersey, and New Orleans. NYC alone has 35,000 of the U.S. total 79,000 cases (and 385 of its deaths). New Jersey (6181 cases, but new cases beginning to spike, along with deaths, currently at 81. Louisiana, specifically New Orleans, just beginning to go critical: 2300 cases, 83 deaths, but saying their hospitals are already overwhelmed.
Michigan and Florida are both beginning to spike.
California with 3300 cases 68 deaths, but they seem to have peaked and leveled out.
And then there’s the governor of Mississippi (485 cases, 5 deaths) who yesterday announced that “Mississippi will never be China” and overrode the quarantine requirements put on by several city mayors. This is reckless and irresponsible. (Note: Republican governor)
Also reckless and irresponsible is President Trump’s declaration that he wants all of this to be over by Easter Sunday, so the churches can be filled for Easter services. As the numbers continue to climb, he will, of course rescind this statement (and probably deny that he made it), but the damage done can be demonstrated by our foster daughter Tiffany, who told us yesterday that “the president says this is all going to be over by Easter”. This leads her and others to continue to not take the virus seriously. For instance, the weekend before this last one she and her boyfriend went up to Milwaukee and partied. Unlike those us watching the news cycle 24/7, she represents most Americans who just catch the “headline”, and of course a president’s statement is going to be a headline.
This morning I made my second grocery run since our self-quarantine. There were significant differences from my last run a week and half ago. Maybe 10-15% of the customers were wearing masks of gloves. People clearly giving wide berths, trying to avoid each other in aisles. But STILL a disturbing number (clearly a tiny minority) of shoppers who just walked right past you, seemingly paying no heed to the social distancing announcements being put over the PA system every ten minutes or so. And of course it takes just one.
I wore latex gloves into the store and did all my shopping with them on. But… dilemma. When I got back to the car, do I open the car and handle the gearshift, the steering wheel and ignition with the possibly-contaminated gloves, thus possibly contaminating my car? Because I do need the glove on when I get back home and take the grocery bags *out* of the car and into the house.
My decision: took the gloves off after loading the car, then put them back on again when I got home and out of the car. But… where do you put the gloves in the car while you’re driving home? See how this virus can get into your head, lol?
WORLD
The U.S. now leads the world in the number of new cases. Still behind China and Italy in number of total cases, but by tomorrow we should be… NUMBER ONE!!
5:00 p.m. – Didn’t take til tomorrow. U.S. surpassed both Italy and China to surge into #1 in total Covid-19 cases. Now, per capita the U.S. is still in about 10th place among nations of the world… but I’m afraid that’s going to change.
Friday, March 27, 2020
The U.S. sits today on a very precarious ledge. IF our social distancing measures make a difference, me *might* see our curve begin to flatten. On the other hand, our per capita numbers compared to other nations ahead of us on the curve are quite high.
1:30 p.m. – U.S. cases – 96,998, up 18,000 in the past 23 hours
U.S. deaths – 1477, up 334 in the past 23 hours
Some possibly good news from NYC. Their case totals were doubling every two days last week. Then it doubled every three days, and now it’s doubling every four days – a sign that the curve might be flattening. But here’s the concern. Because neither the president nor many governors have either failed to act at all or have acted too late (like Pritzker in Illinois), the concern is that many states aren’t even seeing the front edge of the wave that’s going to grow and grow until it crests over the top of hospital ability to handle. Again, this comes down primarily to ventilators for those in critical respiratory distress who must have one or die.
So… Illinois, which did not order a lockdown until AFTER the big Saturday St. Pat’s Day celebrations in Chicago. Jam-packed bars. And then allowed the Illinois primary to occur on the 17th – hundreds of thousands of Illinois citizens traipsing through the polling places.
Florida, where the governor closed the beaches… AFTER spring break… in a state filled to the brim with retirees.
Arizona, where to this date the governor (Republican) still has ordered no special precautions… in another state filled up with retirees.
California, where people flocked to the beaches AFTER the governor ordered a shelter-in-place order.
Louisiana, only because it’s happening right now already. Per capita, it’s the #1 hot spot in America right now.
4:30 p.m. – The U.S. just topped 100,000 cases, up 3000 in the past 3 hours.
U.S. deaths – 1546, up 69 in the past three hours. (This extrapolates to 560/24 hrs. if it continues. This will be interesting to watch, to say the least.)
WORLD
U.S. now pulling away in number of cases worldwide
Italy in second, 86,500 cases, and 9100 deaths.
China in third at 81,000, which is where they’ve been for weeks (a good sign, but we must note that tho they started late, they instituted draconian measures to flatten the curve)
Spain in fourth, with a high number of new deaths (775 in the past day), but lagging behind U.S. in all numbers just because of per capita.
Then Germany (5), France (6), Iran (7), and UK (8), where the numbers seem to be growing. Somehow Germany with pretty high case numbers (51,000) has a pretty low death rate (351). Might be interesting to watch that.
U.S.
NYC still the American epicenter. Over 40% of all U.S. cases. (46,000/104,000)
9:00 p.m. – U.S. cases now at 123,578, up 23,500 since 4:30 p.m. We’re running away from the rest of the world now (due largely to our larger population)
U.S deaths now 2221, up 675 since 4:30 p.m. We’re now moving into 1000/day territory. On March 23, five days ago, we were losing fewer than 100/day. (Ed. Note March 30: This seems to be an aberration caused perhaps by a surge in reporting lumped into just a few hours time. In any event, this figure has proven to be high… for now.)
Sunday, March 29, 2020
“On Easter, we probably think that could be a peak, that could be a peak period, that could be the peak number of deaths before it starts coming down.”
Excerpts from this morning’s Chicago Tribune: “Of the 75 senior positions at the Department of Homeland Security, 20 are either vacant or filled by acting officials, including Chad Wolf, the acting secretary who recently was unable to tell a Senate committee how many respirators and protective face masks were available in the United States….At the Department of Veteran Affairs, workers are scrambling to order medical supplies on Amazon after its leaders, lacking experience in disaster responses, failed to prepare for the onslaught of patients at its medical centers. Ever since President Donald Trump came into office, a record high turnover and unfilled jobs have resulted in empty offices across wide swaths of the federal bureaucracy. Now, current and former administration officials and disaster experts say the coronavirus has exposed those failings as never before….Some 80% of the senior positions in the White House below the Cabinet level have turned over during Trump’s administration, with about 500 people having departed since the inauguration. Trump is on his fourth chief of staff, his fourth national security adviser and his fifth secretary of the Department of Homeland Security.”
3:20 p.m. – U.S. cases, 138,908, up 13,500 since yesterday 9 p.m. (a slowing trend!)
U.S deaths, 2438, up 271 since yesterday 9 p.m. (also a slowing trend!)
Monday, March 30, 2020
This could be very temporary, because both the news cycle and the medical experts all seem to indicate we’re on the very front end of this, but… we’ve seen a slowdown in both U.S. cases AND deaths over the past two days.
10:15 a.m. – U.S. cases, 144,565, up 5500 since 3:20 p.m. yesterday (more slowing!)
U.S. deaths, 2602, up 164 in same time (and ditto)
To the point mentioned above, Dr. Anthony Fauci, who seems to be the only believable person on the stage at the daily presidential briefings, estimated on yesterday’s morning news shows that he expects the U.S. death rate to end up somewhere between 100 and 200,000. So… are we just in a lag spot here, where NYC is beginning to taper off but other cities have not begun their sharp upward spikes? I guess we’ll just have to wait and see.
In the meantime, “President” Trump, who just days ago was boosting the idea that the churches would all be filled for Easter Sunday (April 12), yesterday extended the “stay-at-home” advisory to the end of April. He simply cannot seem to understand anything other than what he wants to believe until it gets beat into him with a sledgehammer. His daily briefings have been a horror show of self-aggrandizement, lies, half-truths and misstatements, all of which have to be corrected by the other people on the dais with him (usually Fauci).
2:30 p.m. – U.S. cases, 158,290, up almost 14,000 in just under four hours (speeding up)
U.S. deaths, 2933, up 331 in just under four hours (also speeding up)
I really should start keeping track of epicenters within the U.S. New York is our current hot spot, but I think Florida will explode and California and NJ seem to be upticking. Let’s see if we can start following their trends. I’ll put them in order of severity as of the time I check.
As of 2:30 p.m., Monday, March 30
- New York – 66,497 cases, 1218 deaths
- New Jersey – 16,636 cases, 198 deaths
- Michigan – 6498 cases, 184 deaths
- California – 6358 cases, 132 deaths (I read that this number doubled since yesterday)
- Florida – 5473 cases, 63 deaths
10:00 p.m. – U.S. cases, 164,253, up 6000 since 2:30 (last 7.5 hrs.)
U.S. deaths, 3165, up 430 in last 7.5 hrs.
Media reporting that this is the first 500-death day in the U.S. My math shows 26,000 new cases since 3:30 yesterday afternoon.
10 p.m. – On a statewide level, California has surged into third place in numbers of cases reported, followed now by Michigan, Massachusetts and Florida. Washington, Illinois, Pennsylvania, and Louisiana
Tuesday, March 31, 2020
Trump at news conference: “This is going to be gone, it’ll be gone, hopefully gone for a loong time.”
VP Pence to CNN: “I don’t believe the president has ever belittled the threat of the coronavirus.”
Florida numbers now beginning to surge.
Big news on the networks today: 821 U.S. deaths… and the “president” say you can wear a scarf over your face in lieu of an N95 mask. Really.
9:15 p.m. – U.S. cases, 188,530, up 24,000 in past 23 hours
U.S. deaths, 3889, up 700 in past 23 hours (again, slightly different count time than the networks).
New York – 75,983 cases, 1550 deaths
New Jersey – 18,693 cases, 267 deaths
California – 8504 cases, 180 deaths
Michigan, Florida, Massachusetts, Illinois follow
Detroit and Chicago beginning to ramp up.
Perhaps the biggest story: the testing still is not there! Promises, promises, promises, and nothing seems to happen. To be clear, there is more testing than there was two weeks ago, but our testing is so far behind that we have no idea how many Americans are sick and where they’re located.
From March 27 Washington Post, “In a statement Friday, Health and Human Services Assistant Secretary for Health Brett P. Giroir said federal officials have been “actively involved in dozens” of mobile sites across the United States, providing supplies or personnel to roughly 30 of them.”
Thirty.
On March 13, the “president” promised testing areas in Walmart, RiteAid and Target parking lots all across America. The CEOs of those chains stood next to him. There are collectively 26,400 of these stores across the nation.
As of tonight, there are exactly five testing stations in these parking lots.
This is gonna be bad.
The “president’s” briefing today is the first time he has taken a somber tone. I believe he told the American people the truth for the first time. He said the estimates now are that there will be between 100 and 200,000 American deaths before this is all over, and that we should prepare for a very difficult couple of weeks coming up.
In the same briefing, however, he said that wearing a scarf over your face when you went out would be fine. This is simply not true. It might be better than nothing, but he never qualifies his statements with anything other than his bluster.
There has been a lot of confusion about face masks. Many Asians simply cannot understand why Americans haven’t been wearing them: it’s a respiratory disease, after all. The biggest reason, of course, is that we have told not to wear them, but I suspect the reason we have been told that is because we face a critical shortage of them and the ones we do have are needed by medical personnel. Shades of “duck and cover”.
Wednesday, April 1, 2020
A glimmer of good news from the rest of the world. Italy’s case AND death numbers have remained steady over the past three days. Is this the plateau?
9:15 p.m. – U.S. cases 215,081, up 26,551 in 24 hours (single biggest day).
U.S. deaths 5109, up 1220 in 24 hours (our first 1000-death day)
It appears that the president’s somber prediction yesterday is about to happen.
And yet today, the president’s briefing, in this time of increasing fear in the nation was on the topic of… foreign policy. Not a single reporter in the room had any advance knowledge that this was NOT going to be an update on the virus. The feeling is that Trump is now realizing how valuable these daily briefings are in terms of his ratings, and he’s now going to use them to advance his policy agendas.
THE WORLD
2. Italy now with half the cases as the U.S. and as noted above, steadying death totals.
3. Spain with 104,000 cases and 9400 deaths
4. China holding steady, but being the early leader, now dropped to 4th in numbers simply because of its vast population
Germany, France, Iran and UK in next order, tho Germany and France appear to be holding (early quarantine and lots of testing), while Iran and UK look to be rising.
Thursday, April 2, 2020
We’re at the point now where we need to think about the fact that at some point in this next month we’re going to lose someone we either know or love, or both, to the virus. And that could include us.
If either I or Lois were to come down with it, we would both have to be quarantined, and that becomes a serious issue in this household, because all four of us would have to quarantine from each other. Food preparation and shopping become problematic.
9:00 p.m.- U.S. cases, 245,066 (more than twice the number now of any other nation – tho per capita cases should show a different number), up 30,000 cases in the past 24 hrs., a curve that continues to climb.
U.S. deaths, 6075, up 966 in past 24 hrs., roughly holding steady the past few days. Then again, last Thursday, one week ago, we sat at 1143 deaths, a 5.3-fold increase in seven days. At this rate of 5.3-fold increase, on April 9 there would be 32,197 deaths and on April 16 there would be 160,987 deaths. Let’s hope the curve begins to flatten real soon.
We have more than tripled the number of cases in China (a nation of 1.3B, four times ours) and more than double China’s death rate. There is, of course, some doubt as to China’s veracity, but those questions didn’t start being asked until our numbers began surpassing China’s and Trump supporters looking for anywhere to place the blame besides Trump.
New York – 93,000 cases, 2500 deaths
New Jersey – 25,500 cases, 537 deaths
California – 11,000 cases, 239 deaths
Michigan – 10,739 cases, 417 deaths
Louisiana – 9150 cases, 310 deaths
Florida – 9008 cases, 144 deaths (just wait)
Massachusetts – 8966 cases, 154 deaths
Illinois – 7700 cases, 157 deaths
Friday, April 3, 2020
From today’s Chicago Trib: “DuPage County — with 392 residents testing positive — has a rate of 42 per 100,000 residents, or about 1 for every 2,400.
But, much like their counterparts across the region, county health officials caution that they’re probably missing many cases. “Due to the nature of COVID-19 community spread and testing, the number of positive cases is likely much higher than that listed as a result of unreported or untested cases in our community,” according to its website…. Naperville, with 31 residents testing positive….”
1:15 p.m. – Just off the phone with Tiffany (our foster daughter, now 30 and on her own). She works in a law firm and is being told that as of Tuesday she needs to report to work once a week as part of a skeleton crew to keep the firm running. She will be serving at least in part as replacement for a receptionist who is over 60. The firm is concluding that Tiff has a greater chance of surviving the virus if contracted than does this older woman. She will be given one pair of gloves and one mask, both of which she will need to re-use.
She also said that her brother has a high temp, no energy, a bad cough, and (FaceTime) looks like a ghost. The hospital wouldn’t admit him, but gave him an O2 device. He has no driver’s license so does he get himself to a drive-thru testing facility? At what point does he try the hospital again?
1:30 p.m. – U.S. cases at 266,000, up 21,000 since 9 p.m. last night.
U.S. deaths at 6803, up almost 800 since last night
10:30 p.m. – U.S. cases at 277,467, up 11,500 since this afternoon and up 32,500 since last night. U.S. has almost 1/3 of all the cases in the world.
U.S. deaths, 7402, up 600 since this afternoon and up almost 1500 since last night.
Michigan and Massachusetts have both jumped up in the U.S. ranking. NY and NJ still leading, with NY still with almost half the U.S. cases.
THE WORLD
Over one million cases worldwide now.
Italy, Spain, Germany, China, France and Iran in that order behind the U.S.
Saturday, April 4, 2020
“What do you have to lose? I’ll say it again, what do you have to lose? Take it. I really think they should take it. Hydroxychlorquine. Try it, if you’d like.”
Midnight, U.S. cases at 311,635, up 34,000 since yesterday evening. Curve is climbing.
U.S. deaths 8454, up 1050. Over a thousand, but perhaps flattening?
The World
Spain has now moved into 2nd place in number of cases, nosing out Italy for the first time, but barely. Italy with 15,360 deaths, still 3500 ahead of Spain.
Realizing that the way I’m writing makes this sound like some kind of glorified race for the top. But each of these numbers represents a family whose lives have been upended and wrenched apart, usually quite suddenly. When a virus patient dies, they die alone. Family cannot be admitted to their side. No last exchanged words, hugs, tears. Priests cannot deliver Last Rites, or the pastor a prayer of comfort, a hand held.
I wrote a piece yesterday in our neighborhood NextDoor social network about my observations on a long bike ride and a visit to the Jewel about the lack of social distancing I observed among my fellow citizens. My goodness the replies it spurred! Mostly positive, but the negative ones? Where are these people coming from??
Sunday April 5, 2020, Palm Sunday
“Did anybody in this room think a thing like this could happen? But it happened….They don’t have to appreciate me at all. I don’t care about me.”
The churches of America will be empty today, with the exception of a few fanatical Trump-supporting ones, all of which will probably pay a heavy price from Christ the Scientist. Churches across America have gone to on-line services, which of course defies the very idea of corporate worship. I think especially of churches like my old one, Progressive Community in Chicago. The African-American worship experience relies heavily on its music, which is woven so tightly in and around the service that you sometimes aren’t even aware of its presence. The organist and the pastor are a team: the pastor leading and the organist following the mood, from quiet and reflective to crashing emphases of a pastor’s repeated phrases. And then there’s the fundamental aspect of the black church sermon going back to the days of slavery: call and response. These
CNN this morning says the U.S. had its most deadly day yesterday. Their figures come from the Johns Hopkins database, which posts once or twice a day, versus the Worldometer.com site I’ve been using.
CNN reports 1344 deaths yesterday (U.S.), with the death toll standing at 8503. The White House health team of Drs. Deborah Birx and Anthony Fauci (the only two believable people) say that the coming two weeks are “extraordinarily important. This is the moment to not be going to the grocery store, not going to the pharmacy.”
Our governor, J.B. Pritzker, says re: testing, that Illinois is still significantly behind on testing our population: “Everything about the tests are very difficult to come by, and there’s no federal plan for this, so every state is on their own. As I’ve said, it’s the Wild West out here.” After over a month, only 126,000 tested in California.
And this is the summary of the disaster of our federal government’s response. Trump continues to blame the Obama administration for leaving him “outdated” tests and equipment, which of course is simply nonsense as Trump is in his fourth year as president and clearly has ignored all the warnings about pandemic danger. He has been able to bull***t his way out of every other malfeasance, criminal activity and incompetence to date. I don’t think he’ll survive this one.
Louisiana saw a big spike in cases yesterday – 12,500, and more than 400 deaths there now.
In his typical mastery of the English language, the “president” told the nation to expect “a lot of death” in the next couple of weeks. Very reassuring, Mr. President.
DuPage County and Naperville
606 cases and 19 deaths in DuPage as of today.
47 cases in Naperville
Monday, April 6, 2020
“I wish you’d ask the question differently. Why don’t you say it’s gotten off to a tremendous start, but there were some little glitches which, by the way, have been worked out. I wish we had a fair media in this country, and we really don’t. Speaking of unfair (pointing to a reporter), go ahead.”
6:45 a.m. Didn’t update stats yesterday, but this morning’s stats should reflect approximately last night’s numbers
U.S. cases, 336,851, up just shy of 35,000 since midnight Sat.
U.S. deaths, 9620, up about 1200 since midnight Sat.
Our death total is doubling every three days now. Depending on when we peak, here are some simple mathematical projections based on this curve:
By Thursday, April 9 – 19,000 deaths
By Sunday, April 12 (Easter) – 38,000 deaths
By Wednesday, April 15 – 72,000 deaths
By Saturday, April 18 – 144,000 deaths
God help us if we haven’t peaked in two weeks.
Some good news. Our raw numbers look to be the worst in the world, but our deaths per million are significantly lower than many other nations that have been hit hard. The point is, though, that if the “president” had begun to address this issue seriously (in February he was calling it just “another Democrat hoax” to bring down his presidency) AND he had had an organizational plan in place with the triggers in place for what to do at every step of the way, our death totals would be much more like South Korea’s or other nations that acted early.
We have finally begun to move on testing. Almost 2 million Americans have now been tested for the virus, about 5300/million Americans. We still lag behind many other civilized nations, but we’re apparently catching up. This is the single most-unexcusable mistake by the Trump administration – not having testing ready to go. So many other nations were way ahead of us on this. Without testing, for the better part of the past two months, we’ve been flying blind on this disease.
The other unexcusable: the lack of coordination on getting ventilators and PPE to the states that need it most. Every state is in a bidding war against every other state AND our own national government now. This is an abysmal failure: our national government should be THE coordination point for this. What happened to FEMA??
Btw, almost every nation in the world has now been hit by the virus to some degree or other.
11 p.m. – U.S. cases – 367,385, up 31,000 since this morning.
U.S. deaths – 10,876, up 1200 since this morning, and up 2422 since midnight
Saturday.
Tuesday, April 7, 2020
11:30 a.m. – In the past 12 hours, U.S. cases 380,734, up 13,400.
U.S. deaths 12,000, up 1200 in the same time span. On track for our first 2000-death day.
It’s a weird feeling, waiting to hear about your first family member or friend who contracts the virus, or dies from it. So far, we’ve only heard from the next circle out – friends of friends, or the grandfather of a former student, etc.
I’m going to go out for a bike ride this afternoon and while I’m out riding, hundreds of Americans will die of this virus. It’s a strange disconnect. (Bigger picture: on average, 7700 Americans die every day of old age, illness, accident, suicide, murder, etc. I don’t find myself writing a diary about that. Why? Because that’s the norm. This… isn’t.)
9:30 p.m. – U.S. cases, 400,412, up 33,000 in the past 23 hours
U.S. deaths, 12,854, up 2000 in the past 23 hours – our first 2000-death day.
We’ll look today for the first time at not just raw # of deaths, but more importantly, deaths per million population of the leading states. Also, a trend that’s becoming clear: African-Americans are carrying the brunt of this disease. In states like Illinois, with 30% black population, they are 72% of the deaths. Numbers of reasons, most of which trace back to the Civil War and Jim Crow.
States Cases Deaths deaths per million
New York 142,384 5489 (more than 9/11) 280
New Jersey 44,416 1232 (more than 9/11) 139
Michigan 18,970 845 85
California 17,537 447 11
Louisiana 16,284 582 125
Massachusetts 15,202 356 52
Pennsylvania 14,945 250 20
Florida 17,747 296 14
Illinois 15,539 380 30
Wednesday, April 8, 2020
The big news today is that the WHO and CDC have downgraded the U.S. final death totals from “between 100 and 200 thousand” down to “60-80,000”. The big IF on this is if Americans continue to stay indoors and not rush outside now that they think we’re over the hump. We shall see.
In the meantime it looks (as of 6:00 p.m.) that we’re going to see our second 2000-death day in a row. I’ll check back later
Thursday, April 9, 2020
Well, I didn’t check back in last night, so here’s the morning numbers, which are basically the same as last night’s, since the website doesn’t start updating till later in the morning.
9:45 a.m. – U.S. cases, 435,780, up 35,000 in 36 hours (a bit of a slowdown)
U.S. deaths, 14,865, up 2000 in 36 hours (this would also be a bit of a slowdown)
DuPage County today with 873 confirmed cases and 28 deaths. DuPage County part of Naperville with 71 cases. Edward Hospital with 33 patients, and 3 deaths (as of April 6). Will County Naperville with no numbers available, though Will County with 257 cases and 8 deaths.
9:00 p.m. – U.S. cases, 468,566, up 33,000 in 11 hours, an uptick again
U.S. deaths, 16,691, up 1800 in 11 hours, also an uptick
But… looking back at the projections I made on Monday, there would have been 19,000 deaths by the end of the day today, and 38,000 by Easter Sunday. We’ll be far short of that on Sunday.
Things are looking up, but there’s a big IF on all of this. As we see the cases in our hot zones begin to level off, are we simply waiting for new hot zones, like Florida or Texas, to erupt. Will we see a May, June, July and August of cascading hot zones, where we’ll see the death toll top 100,000 but just not as quickly as if it happened all at once? Will we see wave after wave of the virus roll back and forth across the country for a year until we get a vaccine because of our uncoordinated responses or… have we really reached the apex and our social distancing is truly being effective from coast to coast? Time, and of course, the virus, will tell.
Friday, April 10, 2020 (Good Friday)
Trump: “We have to get our country open again.”
Reporter: Can you say, sir, what metrics you’ll use to make that decision?
Trump: (pointing to his head) “The metric’s right here. That’s my metrics. That’s all I can do.”
Trump: “There’s always a risk. This is genius we’re fighting. You know we’re fighting this hidden enemy which is genius, okay? It’s genius. The way it’s attacked so many countries.”
Did not post today.
Saturday, April 11, 2020
8:00 a.m. – U.S. cases 503,177, up 34,500 in past 36 hours, perhaps a downtick?
U.S. deaths, 18,761, up 2000 in past 36 hours, also maybe a downtick.
Again, projections from Monday would have shown 38,000 by Easter Sunday (tomorrow) and this will definitely not be the case. This is some good news for Easter.
The question is now beginning to be asked – when do we open the country back up? There is talk of allowing people who have recovered to return to work, and perhaps a test that will show those others who won’t get the virus to also return to the work force.
Almost 20 million Americans have filed for unemployment in the past three weeks. By comparison, in the 2008 economic crisis, HALF that number filed… in TWO YEARS. One important difference: our economy this time has been put on hold by dictum, not by market vagaries. But similar in the sense that we’re not sure how and when it will return.
If I haven’t already explained (I’m beginning to lose track of my own thread here), virtually every American business has been shut down at their physical location. The Loop is virtually deserted as employees now are either furloughed (laid off) or they’re working from home. Restaurants and bars are closed. Schools are closed (Side note here: Gov. Ron DiSantis of Florida just re-opened Florida schools, stating that kids are not prone to the disease. This, of course, doesn’t take into account either the faculty and administration, or more importantly, or more importantly that kids can carry the disease from home, to home, to each other, to the faculty, etc. etc.
10:30 p.m. U.S. cases 532,879, up almost 31,000 since this morning at 8:00 a.m.
U.S. deaths – 20,577 (a new benchmark), up about 1800 since this morning.
Sunday, April 12, 2020 (Easter Sunday)
The day the “president” said our churches would be filled… wasn’t.
9:30 p.m. – U.S. cases, 560,433, up 27,500 since 10:30 last night
U.S. deaths 22,115, up 1600 since 10:30 last night (plateauing??)
Important to note: while the U.S. now is running away from the world in NUMBER of cases and deaths, our totals per million/pop. (67) do not put us even in the top ten. I think this is a telling statistic. Spain, Italy, France, Belgium, UK, Netherlands, Switzerland, Luxembourg, Andorra, San Marino, St. Maarten, are all well ahead of us this regard. San Marino with over 1000/million is having a terrible time of it.
Now, to watch US coverage of the virus, you’d never know any of this. The news cycle is the same repetition of U.S.-only news, you’d never know another nation in the world was having a problem. Really pathetic.
Monday, April 13, 2020
“All I’m saying is this – how do you close down the greatest economy in the history of the world when on January 17 you have no cases and no death. When on January 21st, you have one case and no death. Think of that.”
(I’m thinking about it. What do those numbers have to do with ANYthing happening on April 13??)
“What we inherited from the previous administration was totally broken. We inherited broken testing. Now we have great testing.”
Ronald Klain, chief of staff to both VPs Al Gore and Joe Biden and coordinator of the US response team in the Ebola crisis: “We literally left them a 69-page Pandemic Playbook… that they ignored. And an office called the Pandemic Preparedness Office… that they abolished. And a global monitoring system called PREDICT… that they cut by 75%.”
6:00 p.m. – U.S. cases 585,290, up 25,000 since last night 9:30 p.m.
U.S. deaths 23,577, up just over 1000 since last night 9:30 p.m.
As I write, the “president” is claiming once again that he inherited “nothing” by way of preparation for this pandemic. To be clear, this is an out and out lie. Also, he never addresses the 3 ½ years that he’s been in office where HE not only did nothing, but he ignored a transition team exercise in 2016-17, eliminated a specific pandemic response team in 2018, and ignored another tabletop exercise in 2018. All of these issued stark warnings that a pandemic HAD to be prepared for.
He says he has the power to re-open the country’s economy, even though he was saying the opposite when it came to closing it down – that this was up to the governors of each state.
Tuesday, April 14, 2020
“Today I’m instructing my administration to halt funding to the World Health Organization….”
Noon, – U.S. cases 598,687, up 13,500 since 6:00 p.m. last evening.
U.S. deaths – 24,770, up 1200 in same time.
9:00 p.m. – U.S. cases 613,886, up 27,500 since last evening 6 p.m.
U.S. deaths 26,067, up 2500 since last evening 6 p.m. (this is a jump)
The “president” today announced he was cutting off all funding to the World Health Organization. This is one more attempt to shift the blame for his failure onto anyone else he can possibly blame. That list now includes the Obama administration (of course), G W Bush administration, China, governors of various states, and other nations (Italy and Spain, and Europe in general). He announced last week that he “takes no responsibility” for anything that’s happened. His inaction during the entire month of February is unconscionable and has cost the U.S. thousands of lives.
Wednesday, April 15, 2020
10:00 p.m. – U.S. cases 644,089, up just over 30,000 since last evening 9 P.M. (highest number of one-day new cases since April 11)
U.S. deaths – 28,529, up 1000 since yesterday (although a weird anomaly – all news agencies are reporting U.S. deaths now at almost 31,000, which would mean we’re up almost 4000 deaths in the past 25 hours, easily the worst day yet. Which of these stats is true?)
Which raises the issue of numerical reliability. Almost no one trusts China’s numbers because they’re, well… China. Our numbers can’t be even close to accurate because we are phenomenally under-tested. We have NO idea how many cases we have in the U.S. Thus we can’t predict when our curve is going to flatten because we have no curve. So if two of the largest nations in the world have fuzzy numbers….
Thursday, April 16, 2020
“It should have been told to us. It should have been told to us early. It should have been told to us a lot sooner. People knew it was happening, and people didn’t want to talk about it.”
6:30 p.m. – U.S. cases, 677,056, up 33,000 since 10 p.m. last night.
U.S. deaths, 34,580, up 6000 since 10 p.m. last night (see yesterday’s discrepancy – did this jump just catch up with the other numbers, or was this a massive day?) – up 6000
Today we saw the beginnings of organized protests by Trump supporters, in states around the country with Democratic governors who have shut down their states. The point: government overreach into the lives of private citizens. Michigan had the largest, but a few other states had them as well, protesters congregating in front of state capitols or driving their pick-ups around the building. Many of them carrying Trump signs and waving American flags.
Friday, April 17, 2020
2:00 p.m. – U.S. cases 690,000, up 13,000 since yesterday 6:30 p.m. Marked slowdown.
U.S. deaths 35,955, up 1300 in same time. Possible slowdown?
Surprise! China announced today that it’s reported numbers were significantly under-reported by approximately 50%. My question: why would I believe THESE numbers? Same with Russia or any other state that controls its media?
Saturday, April 18, 2020
6:00 p.m. – U.S. cases 736,790, up almost 37,000 cases in past 28 hrs.
U.S. deaths 38,920, up 3000 in past 28 hrs.
Sunday, April 19, 2020
“The head of a country doesn’t have to say ‘Stay in’. These people are smart people….Nobody ever thought this could have happened, a thing like this….We inherited a lot of garbage. They had tests that were no good, all this stuff was no good.”
11:30 p.m. – U.S. cases, 764,265, up, 28,500 in past 28 hours
U.S. deaths, 40,565, up 1600 in past 28 hours.
Trump is now politicizing the re-opening of the nation. On Tuesday, he declared he and only he had “complete authority” to reopen the country. Apparently someone in the White House informed him there’s this Constitution-thingy that says he doesn’t have that power. On Wednesday he declared “the governors of each state have the “complete authority” to reopen their states when they feel their state is ready.
On Wednesday we saw the first protests by Trump supporters in Michigan “defending their freedom” to meet in whatever group they want to whenever they want to.
On Thursday, the “president” tweeted that governors should move to “liberate” their states as soon as possible, naming specific states (coincidently all with Democratic governors). The protests are now spreading. Usually small in size, but grabbing headlines wherever they occur. Many of these protesters are showing up with their guns – I guess that also shows their freedom? I don’t know.
But the “president” continues to tweet against any governor who is listening to the medical experts and scientists about continuing their states’ lockdowns. It’s not just madness – it’s dangerous madness, and as much as one never wants to see a life lost, I frankly hope we see cases mushroom among these idiots who are protesting and meeting in close approximation in defiance of not only their governors, but also of the experts in virology.
Monday, April 20, 2020
World update:
2,745,000 cases, 170,000 deaths Deaths Per Million
U.S. – 790,000 cases, 42,300 deaths 128
Spain – 200,200 cases, 20,800 deaths 446
Italy – 181,200 cases, 24,100 deaths 399
France – 155,400 cases, 20,300 deaths 310
Germany – 146,700 cases, 4700 deaths 56
UK – 125,000 cases, 16,500 deaths 243
Turkey – 91,000 cases, 2100 deaths 25
Iran – 83,000 cases, 5200 deaths 62
China – 83,000 cases, 4632 deaths 3*
(*They lie)
Very personal observation. This is the first day I felt no interest in watching the news. It’s not that the virus is diminishing, though it appears it might be**, but just that I’m so burned out and numb to the whole thing that I can’t take any more in right now.
**Also, it’s very difficult to see the lies and intentional obfuscation coming from the White House.
9:00 pm. – U.S. cases, 792,759, up 28,000 since last night
U.S. deaths, 42,514, up 2000 since last night.
Georgia’s governor announced today that (per the “president’s” tweets, but against the “president’s” stated advice the day before the tweets) that he will be re-opening the state up to a large number of small businesses (tattoo parlors, gyms, fitness centers, bowling alleys and the like) this weekend. Georgia’s case and death numbers (20,000/775), while relatively small compared to a state like NY (252,000/19,000) are still spiking. There is no downward trend in their curve whatsoever, with more cases and deaths being reported daily. So it seems like politics and the economy have taken over from science and medicine, and I think we’re going to see this in more states all the time.
Bluntly speaking, Trump has nothing to lose by urging this re-opening. If he doesn’t get the nation open, he loses the election in November. If he re-opens and the numbers spike again nationally, he loses the election in November. But in spite of what the doctors and scientists are saying, IF he re-opens and the numbers don’t spike, he wins. It’s a gamble for him; a game. And American lives are the chips.
Wednesday, April 22, 2020
Today we’re going to begin tracking the states that are re-opening. To be clear, the models call for these states to open some time in June, but Trumper governors in them are bowing to pressure from their cracker constituents to open now. Protests have expanded across the nation. These protests are essentially Trump rallies, and it appears they are funded by the Koch Brothers.
So:
Georgia – 20,700 cases, 836 deaths, 81 deaths/million
South Carolina – 4761 cases, 140 deaths, 28 deaths/million
Florida – 28,300 cases, 893 deaths, 43 deaths/million
Arkansas (never closed) – 2276 cases, 43 deaths, 14 deaths/million
Texas – 21,000 cases, 543 deaths, 19 deaths/million
Kentucky – 3400 cases, 185 deaths, 42 deaths/million
You can see why governors of these states would look at their numbers and say, “Hey, WE’RE not New York! Let’s get ‘er open! So we’ll look at these numbers maybe every three or four days in the coming weeks.
4:30 p.m., U.S. cases, 844,400 cases, up 50,500 cases since Monday evening
47,277 deaths, up 4800 since Monday evening (that’s two 2000-death days in a row)
- Spain
- Italy
- France
- Germany
- UK
I also want to start tracking Sweden, the only European nation to not impose any restrictions whatsoever. They are banking on herd immunity solving the problem. We’ll see.
12. Sweden – 1600 cases, 1937 deaths, 192 deaths/million
Thursday, April 23, 2020
(Trump to reporter). “It may not come back at all, Jeff. It might not come back at all.”
Fauci, later in same news conference: “We will have coronavirus in the fall. I am convinced of that.”
Trump, turning to Birx and his medical team: “…and then I see the disinfectant, where it knocks it out in a minute. One minute. And is there a way we can do something like that, by injection inside or almost a cleaning because you see it gets into the lungs and it does a tremendous number on the lungs, so it’d be interesting to check that, so that, you’ll have to use medical doctors, but it sounds, it sounds interesting to me.”
Response to press: “I’m not a doctor, but I’m like, a person who has a good (points to head) you-know-what
9:30 p.m. – U.S. cases 880,204, up almost 36,000 since yesterday 4:30 p.m. We seem to be plateauing??
U.S. deaths 49,845, up 2600 since 4:30 yesterday. Maybe plateauing, but…
Here’s where we’re at. If some of the hardest-hit states like NY and NJ are beginning to plateau, the question is, will other states that are re-opening “too soon” pick up the slack and we’ll just have this ‘wave-after-wave’ thing until we get a vaccine in another year? Or not??
DuPage County today: 2075 cases, 118 deaths. 146 cases in Naperville. There seems to be no way to find out how many Naperville deaths, though our lovely mayor has announced he would like to re-open the city for business on May 1. To be clear, this would be a graduated opening. Details to come.
Friday, April 24, 2020
10:00 p.m. – U.S. cases, 925,000, up 45,000 since yesterday. We’ve not had close to a day like this. Probably due to more testing…. Which has clearly come too late to stem the tide in the U.S. The damage is done and now all we can do is social distance (which nutjobs are protesting all over the country) and wait for a vaccine.
U.S. deaths, 52,185, up 2400 since yesterday this time. We just keep marching along at around 2-3000 deaths per day now. We crossed the 50,000 milestone.
At yesterday’s press conference, Trump (and you’re not going to actually believe this) touted the possibility of perhaps using ultraviolet rays inside the body to kill the virus. Wait, it gets better… or worse. He also suggested that “ingesting disinfectants” might also go a long way toward helping kill the virus. The CDC got over one hundred calls inquiring about disinfectants as a possible cure, and had to put out a statement that no, drinking disinfectants can only harm you. The manufacturers of Lysol and Clorox actually came out with statements telling the public to NOT in any way EVER ingest their products – that you can die by doing so.
This morning, when asked to clarify that statement, to no one’s surprise, the “president” said… are you ready… that he was being “sarcastic” in replying to a question from a nasty reporter. But the video from yesterday clearly shows he was not addressing any reporter – he was opining directly to the two health experts on the stage with him, looking over at them for their approving nods, and being greeted with dumbfounded stares from one of them (the other was off-camera).
At today’s presser, he came out, spoke briefly, had two sidekicks speak briefly, and all three left the room after twenty minutes, and for the first time taking no questions from the press. These rambling press conference/campaign rallies have lasted on average two hours and longer.
Lost in this story: two days ago the doctor at the CDC in charge of developing the new vaccine was transferred out of his post. He wrote a public letter saying he felt strongly that the reason he was fired is because he refused to publicly approve Trump’s push for the public to begin using hydroxychloroquine, an unproven drug used for malaria and lupus, to cure the virus. Trump has over the past month been pushing this drug repeatedly (over fifty times by tweet or in the press conferences).
When asked at Thursday’s press conference to comment, the “president” said, “I’ve never heard of the man.” But he rambled on for 2 or 3 minutes about how beautiful it was going to be to see the Navy Blue Angels perform over some of our cities – how they fly within 18 inches of each other! I looked it up and he’s right – they fly 18 inches from each other on certain maneuvers.
So he had done his research on the Navy Blue Angels, but had no idea* who the man was who was responsible for developing the vaccine in the United States that will bring an end to the virus. (*Of course he lied because the story was about the only story of the day on every network – and all he does in watch the news networks. So take your pick with this guy: a liar or recklessly ignorant about perhaps the most important person in the world at the present time.
And in the meantime, the FDA put out a warning against the use of Trump’s “miracle drug” chhoroquine outside of clinical trials. In other words, Trump: “what have you got to lose” vs. FDA: “don’t try this at home”. There have been deaths by heart attack of a statistically-significant number of those who have used it.
Saturday, April 25, 2020
10:00 p.m. – U.S. cases 960,896, up 36,000 from last night this time. (We’re approaching the 1 million case mark, at which point approximately one in every 330 Americans will be diagnosed as currently having or having had coronavirus.
U.S. deaths 54,265, up 2100 since last night this time. (Does 2000 deaths per day for a week mean the curve is flattening??)
For perspective the “regular” flu since 2010 has averaged 9-45 million cases per year, with death totals ranging from 12-61,000. So it seems the regular flu hits many more Americans (up to 25-30%) each year, but the death totals of this coronavirus seem much higher (54,000 deaths in just five weeks).
Sunday, April 26, 2020
9:30 p.m. – U.S. cases 987,160, up 26,500 since last night (slowing??)
U.S. deaths 55,413, up 1200 since last night (also slowing??)
Monday, April 27, 2020 – did not record
Tuesday, April 28, 2020
Noon – U.S. cases 1,017,155, up 30,000 in past 36 hours.
U.S. deaths 57,203, up 1800 in past 36 hrs. (Is curve flattening?)
Illinois has now moved in fourth place in number of cases, behind NY, NJ and MA. We sit at just under 2000 deaths. But at 155 deaths/million (d/m) population we’re way down the list. NY by far the worst with over 1100, with nine other states with higher d/m numbers.
10:15 p.m. – US cases 1,035,765, up almost 35,000 cases since noon today. (Maybe the curve isn’t flattening.)
U.S. deaths 59,266, up 2000 since noon (The sobering milestone of this day is that we surpassed the American death total for the Vietnam War… which lasted over 13 years.
Friday, May 1, 2020
Missed the last two days due to traveling. More on that later.
10 p.m. – U.S. cases, 1,131,500 up 95,000 since Tuesday (about 47,000 per day.
U.S. deaths, 65,800 deaths, up 6500 since Tuesday (about 3200 per day)
While number of cases and deaths/day aren’t rising, they’re not dropping either. Until the numbers begin to drop we can expect 16-18,000 deaths per week.
Re: traveling. With some trepidation, but also feeling confident enough that we could do it safely, we drove Mary Lou’s Mazda out to Denver for Sarah to have. We left just after 6:30 a.m., carrying all our food and drink for the day in our respective cars. We stopped only for gas, using a paper towel to punch the numbers on the gas pump and to hold the pump handle – no human contact, no going into the gas station. Restroom: we stopped twice at interstate rest areas. They were open. There would be a number of trucks parked, but the drivers sleeping. We ran into one other human being. Touched nothing except a toilet seat. Washed hands thoroughly.
Arrived Denver at 9:00. Sarah had ordered pizza and made salad. No hugs, no touching. We walked to some picnic tables and had a nice dinner together outside (about 65 degrees), spaced apart. Then back to the condo, handed over the car, title and keys. Got back in the van and left. We stopped at the first rest area out of Denver (Wiggins) to use the toilet, then went on to Sterling rest area where we pulled in, climbed in the back of the van and slept till about 6:30. After toilet, cleaning up, getting gas, we’re on the road by 7:30 where we repeated the same drill as on the way to Denver. No incidences. One difference. We did do a drive-through Arby’s for lunch, then spread a blanket out on the grass and had a picnic lunch in the beautiful 75 degree weather, nobody nearby. Back in the car and home by 9:15 p.m. Two long days of driving, and tired yes, but not “exhausted”.
Gas prices!! Amazing. We paid a high of $1.94 in Sterling (and that was just a few gallons because we knew we could get it for $1.27 in Ogallala. We got it again for $1.27 in eastern Iowa. Other fill-ups were between $1.45 and $1.55.
Protests are breaking out all over the country. Most of them are essentially pro-Trump rallies organized by the “base” of his Base. Heavily armed, flak-jacketed, no masks, waving American flags, wearing MAGA hats. Yesterday a group of them stormed the Michigan state legislature. Trump’s response? These were “good people” and the Michigan governor (Democrat Christie Whitmer) should have met with them.
Saturday, May 2, 2020
Today we start to watch Sweden, which decided it would take limited actions to combat the virus. Sweden’s example is being used by the anti-quarantine protesters as the glowing example of “what we should have done instead of ruining our economy”. In fact, compared to its Scandinavian neighbors, both Sweden’s case and death counts are beginning to spiral upward. We’ll watch it here over the next few weeks.
Sweden – 21,520 cases, 2653 deaths, 263 deaths/million
Norway – 7783 cases, 210 deaths, 39 deaths/million
Denmark – 9300 cases, 460 deaths, 79 deaths/million
Finland – 5176 cases, 220 deaths, 40 deaths/million
10:00 p.m. – U.S. cases 1,160,774 up 29,000 since same time last night.
U.S. deaths 67,444, up 1600 since same time last night. Both numbers significantly down.
More and more states are re-opening. I believe Trump’s push to re-open combined with pressure from these protest groups has pushed governors of both parties to loosen, against their better judgments, and definitely against what the scientists are saying. All we can do is wait and see what happens.
State Watch. On April 22, these were the numbers for the states that opened early:
Georgia – 20,700 cases, 836 deaths, 81 deaths/million
South Carolina – 4761 cases, 140 deaths, 28 deaths/million
Florida – 28,300 cases, 893 deaths, 43 deaths/million
Arkansas (never closed) – 2276 cases, 43 deaths, 14 deaths/million
Texas – 21,000 cases, 543 deaths, 19 deaths/million
Kentucky – 3400 cases, 185 deaths, 42 deaths/million
Tonight:
Georgia, 28,332 cases, 1174 deaths, 114 deaths/million
South Carolina, 6489 cases, 267 deaths, 54 deaths/million
Florida, 35,463 cases, 1364 deaths, 66 deaths/million
Arkansas, 3372 cases, 72 deaths, 24 deaths/million
Texas – 31,142 cases, 874 deaths, 31 deaths/million
Kentucky – 4879 cases, 248 deaths, 56 deaths/million
We’re approaching the two-week mark when we may see a sharp spike in numbers of cases, followed by deaths.
Tuesday, May 5, 2020
Have missed a few days here. What seems to be happening in the nation is that Americans are so tired of being cooped up, or so desperate at losing their jobs and businesses, or so philosophically anti-government that they are forcing state governors to act against what the scientists are telling them, and re-opening their states. This has not been helped one bit by the “president” who two weeks ago sided with the Michigan militia protestors who stormed the state capital with weapons drawn. His tweets in the ensuing days to “Liberate Michigan” (and other states, using the same word), have certainly not helped science.
Trump is desperate. He knows the combination of deaths to virus plus crashed economy mean he loses in November. So he is taking the only course of action he knows (because it’s always only about him). If he re-opens and by some miracle the deaths diminish, then the economy recovers and it’s a win-win… and more importantly, the win in November. If he continues to support the science and state lockdowns, the economy remains crushed even though tens of thousands of lives would be saved. So that’s where we are today. Many states are re-opening, despite the fact that our national death totals keep climbing.
8:00 a.m. – U.S. cases 1,213,000, up 53,000 since Sat. night
U.S. deaths, 70,000, up 2500 since Sat. night. (averaging 1250/day for the past few days. This is a drop in the daily average, which is a good sign.)
Sweden’s numbers keep climbing, but slowly. 23,000 cases, 2883 deaths, 283 deaths/million
Finally, the DuPage County Covid-19 website includes data on “deaths by municipality”.
Naperville at 242 confirmed cases, and 17 deaths. About a 7% rate.
8:30 p.m. – 1,237,633 cases, up 24,500 in past 12 hours.
U.S. deaths, 72,271, up 2200 in past 12 hours.
This is a discouraging day. 2200 deaths in the past 12 hours! And nobody seems to give a shit anymore. I really think America has concluded the following: “It’s only old people, black people, and prisoners, so I don’t care anymore. I’ve sacrificed my job, I can’t pay the rent, nobody I know has died, I think the whole thing is overblown, and I just wanna go outside again. Trump and Fox News are not helping. As I’ve theorized, Trump is absolutely desperate to restart the economy and is willing to sacrifice the nation in order to get re-elected.
This on the very day that the CDC and National Institute of Health have revised their projected death total to almost double the original estimates. Between 130,000 and 230,000 dead by August and 3000 deaths/day by June 1. And apparently either nobody is paying attention to them or nobody cares.
Trump today announced the disbanding of the White House Coronavirus Task Force, and he’s not allowing Dr. Fauci to testify before the House. It’s surreal, but that’s been the rule for this “presidency”.
Thursday, May 7, 2020
6:30 p.m. – U.S. cases 1,297,000, up almost 50,000 since Tuesday evening. No slowing down.
U.S. deaths 76,895, up 4500 since Tues. evening. No slowing.
But… nothing to see here, folks. This thing’s over! Put on a happy face, get out there and get back to work.
Saturday, May 9, 2020
8:00 a.m. – U.S. cases, 1,322,233, up 20,000 since Thurs. evening.
U.S. deaths, 78,622, up 1800 since Thursday evening.
States May 2:
Georgia, 28,332 cases, 1174 deaths, 114 deaths/million
South Carolina, 6489 cases, 267 deaths, 54 deaths/million
Florida, 35,463 cases, 1364 deaths, 66 deaths/million
Arkansas, 3372 cases, 72 deaths, 24 deaths/million
Texas – 31,142 cases, 874 deaths, 31 deaths/million
Kentucky – 4879 cases, 248 deaths, 56 deaths/million
Today:
Georgia, 32,193 cases, 1400 deaths, 132 deaths/million
South Carolina, 7367 cases, 320 deaths, 62 deaths/million
Florida, 39,199 cases, 1669 deaths, 78 deaths/million
Arkansas, 3747 cases, 88 deaths, 29 deaths/million
Texas, 37,727 cases, 1079 deaths, 37 deaths/million
Kentucky, 6288 cases, 298 deaths, 67 deaths/million
In every case, these states totals are ramping up, but.. not spiking out of control.
By comparison, Illinois now with 73,760 cases, 3241 deaths, 256 deaths/million.
The states with the largest cities (NY, Illinois) are carrying the bulk of the cases.
It also appears now that it wasn’t necessarily the Chinese virus that came here, but rather a newer strain that came over from Europe. Thus, American international travel hubs with larger European immigrant populations hit the hardest?
10:00 p.m. – US cases, 1,347,309, up 25,000 since this morning
U.S. deaths, 80, 037, up 1500 since this morning.
Sweden: 26,322 cases, 3225 deaths, 319 deaths/million
Norway: 8099 cases, 219 deaths, 40 deaths/million
Finland: 5962 cases, 267 deaths, 48 deaths/million
Denmark: 10,429 cases, 529 deaths, 91 deaths/million
Sunday, May 10, 2020
10 p.m. – U.S. deaths, 80,787, up 750 in past 24 hours. FIRST TIME UNDER 1000/day since April 3!
Monday, May 11, 2020 – no posting
Tuesday, May 12, 2020
Interesting comparison of the day, made by Sen. Tim Kaine at the Senate hearings this morning: USA v S. Korea
On March 3, the unemployment rates, case rates, and death rates were very similar.
By May 11, S. Korea stood at 3.4% unemployment, 258 deaths, a 5/million rate.
U.S. at 20% unemployment, 81,000 deaths, 248 deaths/million.
10 p.m. – U.S. cases 1,408,636, up 82,000 since Saturday morning (approx. 20,000/day)
U.S. deaths 83,425, up 2500 since Sunday night (1250/day for past two days)
Wednesday, May 13, 2020
3:30 p.m. – U.S. cases 1,423,641, up 15,000 since last evening
U.S. deaths 84,747, up 1300 since last evening
States:
NY – 350,500 cases, 27,280 deaths, 1400 deaths/million
NJ – 142,700 cases, 9700 deaths, 1100 deaths/million
IL – 84,700 cases, 3800 deaths, 299 deaths/million
MA – 80,500 cases, 5315 deaths, 771 deaths/million
Other states with high deaths/million:
CT – 853
LA – 512
MI – 472
RI – 436
DC – 496
Thursday, May 14, 2020
And suddenly Russia jumps up to third in the world in numbers of cases at 252,000
U.S. still leading the world with 1,430,000, and Spain in 2nd with almost 273,000 (which Russia will probably surpass in the next day or so, pending honest reporting.
In other news, can’t confirm this yet, but have heard that Florida has said it simply isn’t going to report its numbers anymore.
6 p.m. – US cases 1,454,320, up 30,000 since last evening
U.S. deaths 86,821, up 2100 since last evening
As New York finally begins to ramp down, without doing a deep search yet, I think we’re starting to see smaller hot spots jump up “out in the country”. When I have time I’ll hunt down the numbers.
Why are we still between 1500 and 2000 deaths per day?
Friday, May 15, 2020
9:15 p.m. – U.S. cases 1,484,285, up 30,000 since last evening.
U.S. deaths 88,507, up 1700 since last evening.
At what point will I get to write, “down 200 since last evening”?
Texas now beginning to climb. A thousand new cases a day for the past seven days straight.
Saturday, May 16, 2020
9 p.m. – U.S. cases 1,507.773, up 23,500 since last evening.
U.S. deaths 90,113, up 1600 from last evening.
I need to begin to dig into which states are now the new hot spots, and possibly try to figure out why.
Meanwhile, the political lines have hardened into concrete. Trumpers: you’re a wuss if you wear a mask in a public place. The rest of us: you’re a fool if you don’t. We’re basing our stance on science. They’re basing their stance on some imagined Deep State conspiracy to take away their freedom, combined with economic hardship (a very real thing).
Sunday, May 17, 2020
9:30 p.m. – U.S. cases 1,527,664, up 20,000 since last evening.
U.S. deaths 90,978, up 850 since last evening (the second time in a month we’ve been under 1000 deaths in a day)
Trump announced Operation “Warp Speed”, a combined public/private partnership to speed up production of counter-measures to combat the virus. May 17. Operation Warp Speed. May 17.
May 9 stats (May 17 stats in bold type):
Georgia, 32,193 cases, 1400 deaths, 132 deaths/million
37,701 cases, 1609 deaths, 152 deaths/million
South Carolina, 7367 cases, 320 deaths, 62 deaths/million
8816 cases, 385 deaths, 75 deaths/million
Florida, 39,199 cases, 1669 deaths, 78 deaths/million
45,588 cases, 1973 deaths, 92 deaths/million
Arkansas, 3747 cases, 88 deaths, 29 deaths/million
4759 cases, 98 deaths, 32 deaths/million
Texas, 37,727 cases, 1079 deaths, 37 deaths/million
Texas – 48,677 cases, 1360 deaths, 47 deaths/million
Kentucky, 6288 cases, 298 deaths, 67 deaths/million
7688 cases, 334 deaths, 75 deaths/million
On the one hand, these numbers are quite low, and growing very slowly. On the other hand, the CDC guidelines for states to re-open their economies calls for these numbers to begin going DOWN before re-opening.
But every one of these states is a red state, so…
Monday, May 18, 2020
May 9 in bold type. Today in regular font:
Sweden: 30,377 cases (up 4000), 3698 deaths (up 475), 366 deaths/million (up 47)
Sweden: 26,322 cases, 3225 deaths, 319 deaths/million
Norway: 8257 cases (up 158), 233 deaths (up 14), 43 deaths/million (up 3)
Norway: 8099 cases, 219 deaths, 40 deaths/million
Finland: 6380 cases (up 418), 300 deaths (up 33), 54 deaths/million (up 6)
Finland: 5962 cases, 267 deaths, 48 deaths/million
Denmark: 10,968 cases (up 539), 548 deaths (up 19), 95 deaths/million (up 4)
Denmark: 10,429 cases, 529 deaths, 91 deaths/million
Tuesday, May 19, 2020
10 p.m. – U.S. cases 1,570,583, up 48,000 cases from 2 nights ago (24,000/day av.)
U.S. deaths 93,533, up 2500 since 2 nights ago (1750/day av.)
Russia has now jumped all the way up to 2nd place in the world with 300,000 cases. “Only” 2800 deaths (reported), but with that many cases, the death totals will jump.
Thursday, May 21, 2020
11:30 a.m. – U.S. cases 1,601,000, up 29,500 in the past day and a half
U.S. deaths 95,304, up 1800 in past day and a half. We should reach the 100,000 mark by Sunday or Monday.
Brazil now jumps into third place behind Russia.
9:30 p.m. – U.S. cases 1,621,000, up 20,000 in the past 10 hours!
U.S. deaths 96,354, up 1000 in past 10 hours! Whoa!
Saturday, May 23, 2020
10 p.m. – U.S. cases 1,667,000, up 46,000 since Thursday 9:30 p.m. (av. 23,000/day)
U.S. deaths 98,683, up 2300 since Thurs. 9:30 p.m. (1150/day average)
Brazil (22,165 deaths) leapfrogs over Russia into second place. Russia in third (3338 deaths, but just wait). India beginning to move up the ladder – currently 11th.
Sunday, May 24, 2020
U.S. deaths 99,300 up 600 since last evening, the smallest number in weeks and weeks.
But incredibly disturbing video today of people crowding into public spaces all over the country! I put this squarely on the shoulders of the “president”, who instead of squelching this irresponsible behavior, has done nothing but encourage it. He knows that a miracle is his only chance for re-election in November.
Monday, May 25, 2020 (Memorial Day)
9 p.m. – 1,706,200 cases, up 19,700 since last evening.
– I was wrong. I said we’d be at 100,000 deaths by today. We’re only at 99,800 (up 500 since last evening. Once again, a new low in deaths. But just wait.
Tuesday, May 26, 2020
10:15 p.m. U.S. cases 1,725,275, up 19,000 since last evening.
And there we are. The milestone. U.S. deaths 100,572. To compare, on March 26 we sat at 1143 deaths and the “president” said, “We’ve got to get back to work, and I think we can start by opening up certain parts of the country.” This is also the day he said he wanted all the churches back open by Easter.
Wednesday, May 27, 2020
9:30 p.m. – U.S. cases, 1,745,803, up 25,000 since last evening.
U.S. deaths, 102,107, up 1600 since last evening.
New York and NJ still #1 and 2 respectively. Illinois 3rd in number of cases, with 114,300, and just over 5000 deaths (401 deaths/million)
CT (1067) and MA (950) still well ahead in deaths/million.
NY (1519) and NJ (1277) the national leaders.
Thursday, May 28, 2020
10:15 p.m. – U.S. cases 1,768,400, up 23,400 since last evening.
U.S. deaths 103,330, up 1200 since last evening.
Saturday, May 30, 2020
7:00 a.m. – U.S. cases 1,794,553, up 25,000 since Thurs. night
U.S. deaths 104,550, up 1200 since Thursday night
Time for an “early-opening states” update.
May 9 stats (May 17 stats in bold type) (May 30 stats in italics):
Georgia, 32,193 cases, 1400 deaths, 132 deaths/million
37,701 cases, 1609 deaths, 152 deaths/million
45,863 cases, 1984 deaths, 187 deaths/million
South Carolina, 7367 cases, 320 deaths, 62 deaths/million
8816 cases, 385 deaths, 75 deaths/million
11,131 cases, 483 deaths, 94 deaths/million
Florida, 39,199 cases, 1669 deaths, 78 deaths/million
45,588 cases, 1973 deaths, 92 deaths/million
54,497, 2413 deaths, 112 deaths/million*
(*Florida announced in the past two weeks that they have stopped providing statistics, because….????)
Arkansas, 3747 cases, 88 deaths, 29 deaths/million
4759 cases, 98 deaths, 32 deaths/million
6777 cases, 132 deaths, 44 deaths/million
Texas, 37,727 cases, 1079 deaths, 37 deaths/million
48,677 cases, 1360 deaths, 47 deaths/million
62,126 cases, 1654 deaths, 57 deaths/million
Kentucky, 6288 cases, 298 deaths, 67 deaths/million
7688 cases, 334 deaths, 75 deaths/million
9464 cases, 418 deaths, 94 deaths/million
10:30 p.m. – 1,816,820 cases, up 25,000 since last evening.
U.S. deaths 105,557, up 1000 since last evening.
Unrelated, but possibly related: riots have been breaking out all over the U.S. in response to the murder by police of a Minneapolis black man. Virtually every major city has seen thousands of people protesting. Many are wearing masks, but many are not. Will this lead to a spike in cases??
Monday, June 1, 2020
Have been distracted by the nationwide violence in reaction to the death of George Floyd in Minneapolis. Pandemic, and now this. Downtown Naperville (Naperville!!) was looted tonight. Lots of smashed windows. Count on the “president” to deal with the situation in exactly the wrong way: he’s calling for law and order, and threatening to bring the US military to any state that can’t control its own problem (read “Democratic states”). Aye, yi, yii.
Midnight – 1,859,323 cases, up 54,500 since Saturday evening (roughly 27,000/day)
U.S. deaths 106,925, up 1400 since Sat. evening (roughly 700/day).
Thousands have been protesting coast to coast, and many of them without masks. Not good. This just adds to my feeling that we’re in for a rough summer, starting end of this month.
Tuesday, June 2, 2020
11 p.m. – 1,881,205 cases, up 22,000 since last night
108,059 deaths, up 1100 since last night
We are in the eighth day of riots and protests over the killing of George Floyd in Minneapolis last week. They show no sign of letting up. NYC and Chicago were trashed last night. Protests are peaceful during the day, then the cockroaches come out at night.
Brazil now in solid 2nd place in number of cases at 550,000, but expected to be over a million by this weekend. That’s a big jump. Mexico now also showing signs of perhaps being a major hot spot. Russia in third, but I’m suspicious of their reporting.
Wednesday, June 3, 2020
The virus does not dominate the news today. It has not dominated the news for the past eight days since George Floyd was killed. Today the AG of Minnesota announced that the charges against the killing officer have been raised to Murder 2, and the other three officers present are charged with the felony of ‘aiding and abetting’ the murder. This is pretty much a first in the United States.
Thursday, June 4, 2020
9:30 p.m. – U.S. cases 1,924,051, up 43,000 since Tuesday evening (21,500/day)
U.S. deaths 110,173, up 2100 since Tuesday evening (1050/day)
Friday, June 5, 2020
10:30 p.m. – U.S. cases 1,965,708, up almost 42,000 since last night. Big jump.
U.S. deaths 111,390, up 1200 since last night.
Saturday, June 6, 2020
10:30 p.m. – U.S. cases 1,988,540, up almost 23,000 since last night. Back to “normal”.
U.S. deaths 112,096, up 800 since last night.
Brazil now in solid second place in the world behind the U.S. with 676,000 cases and 36,000 deaths, followed by Russia.
Spain and Italy are dropping down in the charts.
In the U.S., Texas now climbing more rapidly, but still significantly behind Illinois in deaths/million.
Sunday, June 7, 2020
10:15 p.m. – U.S. cases, 2,007,449 (a new benchmark), up 19,000 since last evening
U.S. deaths 112, 469, up 375 since last night. Lowest 24-hour death total since the end of March! Is this a watershed moment? Or just an aberration?
Tuesday, June 9, 2020
2:45 p.m. – U.S. cases 2,038,033, up 31,000 since Sunday night.
U.S. deaths 113,835, up 1400 since Sunday night.
Let’s take a look at how our early-opening states are doing.
May 9 stats (May 17 stats in bold type) (May 30 stats in italics) (June 9 stats in 14):
Georgia, 32,193 cases, 1400 deaths, 132 deaths/million
37,701 cases, 1609 deaths, 152 deaths/million
45,863 cases, 1984 deaths, 187 deaths/million
53,249 cases, 2285 deaths, 215 deaths/million
South Carolina, 7367 cases, 320 deaths, 62 deaths/million
8816 cases, 385 deaths, 75 deaths/million
11,131 cases, 483 deaths, 94 deaths/million
14,800 cases, 557 deaths, 108 deaths/million
Florida, 39,199 cases, 1669 deaths, 78 deaths/million
45,588 cases, 1973 deaths, 92 deaths/million
54,497, 2413 deaths, 112 deaths/million*
(*Florida announced in the past two weeks that they have stopped providing statistics, because….????)
66,000 cases, 2769 deaths, 129 deaths/million
Arkansas, 3747 cases, 88 deaths, 29 deaths/million
4759 cases, 98 deaths, 32 deaths/million
6777 cases, 132 deaths, 44 deaths/million
9740 cases, 155 deaths, 51 deaths/million
Texas, 37,727 cases, 1079 deaths, 37 deaths/million
48,677 cases, 1360 deaths, 47 deaths/million
62,126 cases, 1654 deaths, 57 deaths/million
77,579 cases, 1879 deaths, 65 deaths/million
Kentucky, 6288 cases, 298 deaths, 67 deaths/million
7688 cases, 334 deaths, 75 deaths/million
9464 cases, 418 deaths, 94 deaths/million
11,491 cases, 474 deaths, 106 deaths/million
In every case, all numbers up. In fairness, numbers up everywhere, but higher in these states. Still, though, not a massive spike…. Yet.
One new factor. Coast-to-coast protests over the death of George Floyd for 14 consecutive days, people packed together in the streets for hours at a time, most with masks. Not all, and in any event, very little attempt at social spacing.
We will need to watch the numbers here starting in about another week.
Thursday, June 11, 2020
6:00 p.m. – US cases 2,088,358, up 50,000 since Tuesday aft. (25,000/day)
US deaths 116,016, up 2000 since Tues. aft (1000/day)
Saturday, June 13, 2020
5:30 p.m.- U.S. cases 2,141,000, up 43,000 since Thursday (21,500/day)
US deaths 117,500, up 1500 since Thursday (750/day)
New reality. The “biggest” states (NY, NJ, MA) are beginning to drop significantly, but a number of smaller states are starting to spike. So smaller numbers, until you look at per capita. So a place like New Mexico, though rising, seems relatively okay until you look a the Navajo reservation. Or Oklahoma until you look at Tulsa. (Guess where the “president” has his first “
post-coronavirus” rally this coming Friday!)
Sunday, June 14, 2020
9:45 p.m. – U.S. cases 2,162,144, up 21,000 since yesterday afternoon
U.S. deaths 117,853, up 350 since yesterday afternoon. Another new low since early March.
Tuesday, June 16, 2020
9:30 a.m. – U.S. cases 2,184,120, up 22,000 in past 36 hours.
U.S. deaths 118,379, up 750 in past 36 hours.
Strange phenomena now. Death rates are falling overall, but there are pockets of spiking cases happening in many parts of the US that opened early. In some cases, not necessarily “state-122
World-wide, the virus seems to have been brought under control overall, with exceptions like Brazil and Russia, where things seem to be ramping up in a serious way. Europe, overall, seems to have brought things under control.
The U.S. has ¼ of all the world’s cases, and ¼ the world’s death total. Somehow these numbers are acceptable to a large portion of the U.S. population. It baffles me. I guess getting the economy going again actually IS more important than human life.
Wednesday, June 17, 2020
10 p.m. – U.S. cases 2,234,471, up almost 50,000 in past 36 hours.
U.S. deaths 119,941, up 1600 in past 36 hours.
Saturday, June 20, 2020
My goodness, the time slipped away. Well, let’s see where we’re headed here in this nation. Before looking at today’s numbers, the trend seems to be holding steady at about 20,000 new cases per day and 1000 deaths per day. Let’s see if that trend is changing since Wednesday.
10 p.m. – U.S. cases 2,330,500, up 96,000 since Wed. eve (33,000/day). Not good.
U.S. deaths 122,000, up 2000 since Wed. eve. (670/day, roughly). Holding, but… the death total always lags behind the hospitalizations and case by a week or more, so…
Trump held his first big rally tonight in Tulsa, OK. He said 1 million ticket requests had come in, and that 100,000 would come to Tulsa – 19,000 inside the arena and another 80,000 outside. The outside number was downgraded to 40,000. In reality, the inside crowd didn’t fill the arena and the outside crowd was so low they just moved everyone inside and canceled Trump and Pences’ speeches to the “overflow” crowd. Meanwhile, inside most of the arena’s upper deck was empty. My estimate would be 10-12,000 in attendance. Total. That means 96-98,000 no-shows. Which means, even Trump supporters are smarter than the president, and that ain’t saying much.
Probably the best feel-good in a very long time. This was a disastrous kick-off to Trump’s re-election. He feasts on massive rallies (a la Hitler), and this one was tepid at best. (City of Tulsa Fire Department says crowd size was 6200… in a 19,000-seat arena!)
Reports coming out that masses of American young people on Tik-Tok purchased thousands and thousands of tickets in order to troll the “president”. America at its best.
Meanwhile, on the world scene, Brazil may well overtake the U.S. in all categories a #1 in the world. Their president, very much like Trump, a major denier of science.
Sunday, June 21, 2020
10 p.m. – U.S. cases, 2,356,657, up 26,100 since last evening same time.
U.S. deaths 122,247, up 247 since last evening, same time. This is a new low!
However… record numbers of one-day cases in Florida, Oklahoma, Arizona. So just wait.
New estimates of 250,000 American deaths by mid-July. No other country is close to us (I’ll check on a per-capita basis sometime soon)
Thursday, June 25, 2020
5 a.m. – U.S. cases, 2,462,713, up 106,000 since Sunday eve. (approx. 34,000/day). Uh-oh.
U.S. deaths , 124,282, up 2000 since Sunday eve. (approx. 675/day)
Florida, Texas, Arizona, California are all spiking now. Half the U.S. states are seeing rising numbers of both cases and deaths.
The “president” boasts that “nobody has done the number of tests we’ve done” and he’s right… in raw numbers. But per capita basis, we’re #25 in the world in tests run. Granted, many of the nations ahead of us per capita are the tiny ones. But Russia, the UK, Spain, Portugal and Belarus are significantly ahead of us.
In other ‘per capita’ news, deaths/million: UK, Spain, Italy, France, Sweden, Belgium, Andorra and San Marino are all ahead of us.
Heads UP India. Massive population, very little testing, fast-rising number of cases.
Friday, June 26, 2020
As feared, we’re now seeing massive new numbers. Florida yesterday with an all-time one day total of new cases just shy of 9000, bringing their total cases to 123,000.
California, Texas and Arizona are the big spikes.
California now with 200,000 cases, to take over second in the U.S.
Texas with 1400 cases yesterday.
Let’s look at our “early opening” states between June 9 and today:
Georgia – June 9 -53,000 cases, 2250 deaths
Today – 73,000 cases, 2990 deaths
S. Carolina – June 9 – 14,800 cases, 557 deaths
Today – 29,000 cases, 653 deaths (big jump in cases – will deaths follow?)
Florida – June 7, 54,500 cases (last reported date), 2413 deaths
Today – 123,000 cases, 3366 deaths
Arkansas – June 7 – 9740 cases, 155 deaths
Today – 18,062 cases, 240 deaths
Texas – June 7 – 77,579 cases, 1879 deaths
Today – 138,500 cases, 2347 deaths
I don’t have June stats for California. They were a state lauded for having it all under control inMay, but something has definitely gone haywire out there. I’m guessing the population just said ‘the hell with it’.
The stats seem to be showing that the virus is moving down in age now, to the 25-40 crowd. These would be the very people who jammed the beaches and the bars in those states whose governors followed Trump’s advice and opened up to, you know, get the economy going again.
So at the very time when death totals nationwide are dropping, even dropping precipitously, it’s clear we’re on the cusp of another major outbreak. One sign? The White House Coronavirus Task Force met today for a press conference. It’s the first time we’ve seen them in a month. That speaks volumes – they know we’re in for it.
8:30 p.m. – US cases 2,552,990, up 90,000 since yesterday morning. Big jump!
U.S. deaths – 127,640, up 3300 since yesterday morning. Also a big jump. It feels like we’re on the eve of destruction.
Saturday, June 27, 2020
5:00 p.m. – U.S. cases 2,590,266, up almost 38,000 since last evening. Whoa.
U.S. deaths 128,108, up 700 since last evening. Wait another week or two.
Today I’ll start specifically following Florida, Texas, Arizona and California. These are the states that now seem to be careening out of control. Hospitals are reaching their ICU capacities, with no slowing down in sight. So:
Florida – Cases: 132,500 (up 8500 since yesterday – – Deaths: 3392 (#6 in cases – 6171/million)
Texas – Cases: 146,792 (up 8500 since yesterday) – – Deaths: 2403 (#4 in cases – 5063/million)
Arizona – Cases: 70,051 – – Deaths: 1579 (#10 in cases – 9624/million)
California – Cases: 208,207 (up 8000 since yesterday) – – Deaths: 5881 (#2 in cases –
5269/million)
Sunday, June 28, 2020
11:30 p.m. – U.S. cases 2,637,077, up 47,000 cases since yesterday aft. Double Whoa!
U.S. deaths 128, 437, up 300 since yesterday aft. (See yesterday’s comment… with a caveat: IF we are getting better at understanding how to address this disease, we MAY see our death totals hold steady. I don’t think that’s what we’re going to see, but that’s the hope.
I will be taking a hiatus from this diary until around the middle of July. I will be driving to Colorado where I’ll be doing a remote mountain bike tour (Tour Divide route) for a little over a week. Will be social distancing and seeing very few humans in that time. “Driving” means eating/drinking what I bring in the cooler or eating at drive-up windows, gassing up without touching the gas pump (Clorox wipe or paper towel), peeing on the side of the road, sleeping in a tent off the side of the road. For #2, will probably use a rest area toilet unless the rest area is too crowded in which case I’ll find a bush with my TP.
Thursday, July 23, 2020
A great deal has happened in my absence. In short, cases are exploding, especially across the south and in California, which today surpassed NY for the most virus cases (granted, double the population, but Calif. looked like it had everything under control in June). Florida, Texas and Arizona seem to be the worst hit. These are states with Republican governors who defied the scientists. California’s Democratic governor followed the science, but his people did not. I would love to know how many Trumpers were the cause of California’s problems, but that kind of tracing isn’t possible.
Yesterday, Trump resumed the WH virus task force live briefings… without a single scientist on the stage. He appeared alone. He said all the right things – how he’s always been in favor of mask-wearing (this is a lie) and that we should all be wearing them. Fact is, his poll numbers during this devastating month (July alone has seen ¼ of all America’s virus cases) have plummeted, largely due to his handling of the pandemic, so now he’s trying to salvage his re-election. It won’t work because it’s too late. Already, the death numbers are beginning to creep up toward the 1000/day mark again, and I think we’ll be over that mark very soon and for a pretty long time.
Everybody said there would be a second wave in the fall that would be worse than the first wave… and we’re still in the first wave because irresponsible Americans couldn’t do the one simple thing that would have saved tens of thousands of lives: wear a mask in public. Why didn’t they? To be very clear, because the leader of the nation scoffed at the idea, making it a political issue that he thought would play well with his base. It did. Hope he’s happy with the result.
U.S. cases – 4,169,991, up 1.53 million since June 28. (average 61,000 cases/day)
U.S. deaths – 147,333, up 19,000 since June 28 (average 760/day, but started lower, moving higher now by the day)
New York and New Jersey still lead in the death count (32,600 and 15,800 respectively). We’ll start keeping track of the “hot” states now.
California – 432,300 cases/8200 deaths
Florida – 390,000 cases/5500 deaths
Texas – 377,400 cases/4760 deaths
Arizona – 153,000 cases, 3000 deaths
Note: other states (Georgia, Alabama, Tennessee and others) are also spiking in cases. Will deaths follow? If the new cases are among the reckless young, they may recover at a higher rate, but… will they track the virus into their homes and other places where the vulnerable will be exposed all over again? Stay tuned.
WORLD
Brazil now checks in at #2 with 2,300,000 cases/84,000 deaths. Their science-denying president Bolsinaro, tested positiupve last week.
India at #3 and look out there! 1,288,000 cases/30,600 deaths.
Russia #4.
Others: Mexico a real hot spot.
Saturday, July 25, 2020
9 a.m. – US cases 4,252,490, up 72,000 since Thursday evening
US deaths 148, 541, up 1200 since Thursday evening
California – 442,938 (up 10,000), 8340 (up 140)
Florida – 402,312 (up 12,000), 5653 (up 150)
Texas – 395,550 (up 18,000), 4930 (up 180)
Arizona – 156,300 (up 3000), 3140 (up 140)
Monday, July 27, 2020
5:30 a.m. – U.S. cases 4,372,000, up 120,000 cases since Sat. a.m. (60,000/day)
U.S. deaths, 149,850, up 1300 since Thurs. a.m. (650/day)
Places like North Dakota and Nebraska now spiking in cases.
California – 459,195 (up 8000/day), 8455 (up 60/day) – now more cases than NY which has led the US from the start. Note: significantly higher population.
Florida – 423,855 (up 10,500/day), 5855 (up 100/day)
Texas – 398,000 (up 1250/day), 5155 (up 100/day)
Arizona – 162,000 (up 3000/day), 3305 (up 75/day)
NOTE: In hottest states, both case AND death totals have dropped.
Tuesday, July 28, 2020
8 p.m. – U.S. cases 4,498,200, up 126,000 cases since yesterday morning.
U.S. deaths 152,300, up 2500 since yesterday morning.
Sunday, August 2, 2020
9 p.m. – U.S. cases 4,813,650, up 315,400 since Tuesday evening (approx. 63,000/day)
U.S. deaths 158,360, up 6000 since Tuesday evening (approx. 1200/day)
California – 515,700 (up 55,000), …….
Monday, August 24, 2020
Been in Colorado for the better part of the month. So… what has happened in the meantime? Did the virus magically disappear? Did the summer heat kill it off?
6 p.m. – U.S. cases 5,900,000 cases, up 1,100,000 since Aug. 2. (avg. 50,000/day)
U.S. deaths 181,000, up 23,000 since Aug. 2 (avg. just over 1000/day)
Tuesday, Sept. 2, 2020
Very discouraging times. The president and Republicans are simply pretending the virus is no longer a problem. Trump is facing re-election in 61 days and he knows his handling of this crisis is foremost in people’s minds, so he is hoping to deflect. This deflection, of course, just hardens his supporters into continuing to not observe the most basic of safety protocols (mainly masking and social distancing), which will do nothing but keep the numbers climbing. His culpability is tantamount to murder.
7 a.m. – U.S. cases, 6,259,000, up 359,000 in past 7 days (51,000 cases/day av).
U.S. deaths 189,000, up 8000 in past seven days (1150 deaths/day av.)
While it’s true that, as Trump constantly boasts, the US has tested by the millions more than any other nation, he’s talking only raw numbers. Our tests/million population (251,500) aren’t that much different from a number of other major nations (Russia 254,200, UK 239,500, Israel 256,000, Portugal 200,000, Spain 197,000, for example).
But the statistic that doesn’t lie (or does it?) is deaths. We are 4% of the world’s population but account for 22% of the world’s deaths from this disease. Stunning number… which the Trump administration is now trying to throw into doubt. He re-tweeted a viral post from QAnon last week that the CDC is now reporting that only 6% of the reported death figure is from Covid-19 alone.
But that is a gross and willful misinterpretation of the CDC statement, which is, to quote ABC News (Aug. 31): “The CDC data table is based on an analysis of death certificates that mention COVID-19 as a cause. For 6% of the deaths, COVID-19 was the only cause mentioned, the CDC notes.
The other 94% list COVID-19 and other conditions together. Among those deaths, there were, on average, 2.6 additional conditions or causes per death, the public health agency said.”
So 6% of American deaths can be attributed to Covid ONLY. 94% of those who died had some kind of pre-existing health issue (heart disease, diabetes, etc. etc. etc. – my God, show me a healthy American these days!!) who contracted the virus, which finished them off.
And conservatives have the audacity to be saying, “See, those aren’t Covid deaths!”
The fact of the matter, Trump HAS to somehow get the Covid off his back or it will destroy his chances for re-election. Lying and distorting the truth have never been a problem for him, so he’s doing his best.
State Updates
It’s been awhile (July 27 to be exact – 37 days ago), so let’s get some numbers.
I’ll divide all differences between today and July 27 by 37 to arrive at the per day average.
California – 717,000 cases (up 258,000 – 7000/day av.) 13,000 deaths (up 4550 –
123/day av.)
Double the numbers of July 27
Texas – 648,000 cases (up 250,000 – 6750/day av.) 13,000 deaths (up 7900 – 214/day av.)
Double the numbers of July 27
Florida – 631,000 cases (up 207,000 – 5600/day av.) 11,400 deaths (up 5550, 150/day av.)
Up 50% since July 27
Arizona – 202,000 cases (up 40,000, 1100/day av.) 5000 deaths (up 1700, 46/day av.)
Down by half since July 27
Monday, Sept. 14, 2020
About two weeks since last update. In that time, Trump has begun to hold mass indoor campaign rallies at which virtually no one wears a mask. These people are making a clear political statement. They are also telling the world they 1. Don’t believe in science and 2. Don’t care about other human beings. Trump, when asked about the safety issues responded by saying he isn’t worried because HE is up on a platform very far away from everyone. Nice man.
Also, Bob Woodward’s book “Rage” will be released tomorrow. In 19 interviews with the president, Trump tells Woodward in early February that the virus will be very bad. This is the opposite of what he was telling the American people then and is still telling the American people to this very day.
U.S. cases – 6,750,000, up 491,000 since Sept. 2 (41,000/day average)
U.S. deaths – 199,000, up 10,000 since Sept. 2 (833/day average).
Of note, DuPage County and Naperville cases and deaths are beginning to climb after a lull.
I would love to know how many of the new cases and deaths in the US are Trump supporters who refuse to mask. Is there any way to get this information??
US is far and away the number one nation in cases, but India and Brazil are catching up. Russia in fourth. Brazil is #2 in deaths, and it should be noted that its leader, like Trump, is a science denier.
Saturday, October 3, 2020
Well, it’s been quite a couple of days. Donald Trump is at Bethesda Naval Hospital, having contracted the coronavirus. The announcement came Thursday night late and he was taken in yesterday afternoon around 5 pm. As expected in his administration, not only was his diagnosis not announced by the WH (we heard about it as a leak), but there has yet to be any press conference with a doctor associated with the president. That leaves everything open to speculation regarding his condition, which the WH reports as “very good”.
But not only the president. The First Lady, the chair of the RNC, his campaign manager, two Republican Senators, Hope Hicks (president’s closest advisor), president of Notre Dame, and three White House reporters in the press pool. To date.
With an incubation period of up to five days, there will be more. The event that ties most of these cases together was the Saturday (last) Rose Garden celebration of Trump’s nominee to fill the Supreme Court position left vacant by the death of Ruth Bader Ginsberg last week.
Something I just wrote out and sent to some close friends:
The word “unprecedented” has been overused these past four years, but here we are again. The president of the United States taken by helicopter yesterday afternoon to Bethesda with what is apparently a worsening case of coronavirus and the “epidemic within the epidemic” exploding within the top echelons of the Republican Party and the White House staff..
I’m curious about your feelings on all these events.
Here’s a few of mine.
1. “Pride goeth before a fall.”
2. Karma’s a bitch.
3. Hubris
4. I keep wanting to be the better person and feel some, any, ounce of compassion for these people, but it’s not there. They are now finally reaping the whirlwind they’ve recklessly sown for the past seven months that has cost us probably 150,000 American lives that never had to be lost.
5. I want to see more of them pay for their sins. I don’t want them to die, but I do want them to suffer enough pain that they will atone and perhaps come through it with the humility to admit publicly how wrong they were so we can get this disaster finally moving in the right direction.
Topping my list: Eric and Don Jr., Ivanka, Jared, Bill Barr, Mitch McConnell, Jim Jordan, and Franklin Graham. It appears from the videos I’ve seen that all have a solid chance of carrying the virus right now (maybe not Jordan). We’ll know one way or another in a few days or less.
6. I don’t want Trump to die (tho I do want his primary physicians to be Stella Immanuel and Scott Atlas). If he dies, it will only fuel the QAnon conspirators and armed crazies out there, and gin up the Base with a sympathy vote for whoever is on the ticket, be it the Human Bowling Pin or some other last-minute replacement. Also, I want him to live to see what happens on November 3, then watch the collapse of his mythical empire, and spend the rest of his life either fighting a hundred and fifty separate lawsuits (civil, federal, and criminal), or in prison.
I also do not want a quick recovery. As I said above, these people need to suffer and suffer a lot to compensate for what they’ve done. A quick recovery would allow him and the Cult to brag about how see? it’s nothing more than the flu, and go on completely disregarding the fact that they’ve murdered over 100,000 Americans. No, they need to be brought to their knees.
7. Which brings me finally to the “abundance of caution” that led to the decision to get Trump to Bethesda. If we had started hearing that phrase out of the president’s mouth back in February, things would be much different today. But as is so typical of these people,they simply cannot see an issue until it hits them or their family (Cheney on the gay issue, as an example), which is why I am hoping it hits hard and is widespread in the top echelon of the Republican Party.
I don’t know what the next 30 days is going to bring, but we have all got to get every single person we know to vote and do whatever we can in our respective communities to ACTIVELY get out the vote. There’s a lot at stake. There are powerful forces at work to stifle Democratic votes and they’re not going to stop because Trump is in the hospital. If you’ve never been actively involved in a political campaign before, this is the month to do it.
Now let’s see what the rest of October brings.
In the meantime, Americans keep dying at a rate that far exceeds any other place on earth.
8 a.m. – US cases now at 7,550,000, up 800,000 since Sept. 14 (42,000/day average)
US deaths now at 213,500, up 14,500 since Sept. 14 (763/day).
These numbers don’t accurately tell the story of the past week or so. I’ll try to update more frequently again so we can see more immediate trending.
But what is happening now is that as the weather is beginning to turn colder in the northern states, cases are climbing. 26 states are reporting a rise in cases over the past few days, and most of these are in rural Red states with Republican governors, most of whom have given in to the wishes of business owners to re-open. Combine that with the fact that Lois and I have witnessed as we traveled through Iowa and Nebraska and Colorado this summer that Trump Country is simply following the lead of the president in denying that a virus problem even exists.
So now the chickens are coming home to roost not only in the White House, but in the states that have followed the lead of the White House.
Wisconsin in particular is spiking the worst right now. (For the record a Democratic governor… but a Republican statehouse that blocks him)
And that’s why we’re facing a long, ugly winter with no end in sight to our “new lifestyle” until sometime well into next year AT THE EARLIEST.
If Joe Biden is elected next month, that will help a lot.
But sadly, we live in a nation where we have been groomed for decades on the concept of immediate gratification. We “sacrificed” for a couple of months, but that was apparently our limit. People just couldn’t refrain from partying for any longer than that.
So here we are.
Sunday, October 4, 2020
Trump still at Walter Reed/Bethesda. The official reports on his condition are, predictable, FUBAR. No one knows how he’s doing. The WH Chief of Staff, Mark Meadows, says he’s in worse shape than the doctors at Walter Reed are letting on. No WHY would he say that?? No one knows.
In the meantime,
(My stats were wrong. See tomorrow.)
U.S. deaths 214,600, up 1100 since yesterday
Monday, October 5, 2020, 9 p.m.
US Cases 7,680,000, up 130,000 since Saturday morning 8 a.m. (52,000/day average)
US Deaths 215,000, up 400 since yesterday evening.
Monday, October 12, 2020, 5 p.m.
US cases, 8 million (up 320,000 since last Monday, or 47,500/day average – going up)
US deaths, 220,000 (up 5000 since last Monday, or 715/day)
Monday, October 26, 2020
Ok, here we go. As predicted, the virus is taking off again as the weather turns colder and as more Americans follow the president’s lead and deny the science of distancing and mask wearing. This is now an absolutely political/partisan issue in this country. The early pandemic struck the “Democratic” cities before anyone knew how to control it. But the virus is now hitting the “Republican” rural areas, exactly those areas where Trump supporters have followed his lead (and vice versa) in “demanding our freedom!” and denying science. The President is doing massive political rallies at which out of thousands of attendees packed into tight spaces, very few are wearing masks. They revel in this. They mock mask-wearers as pussies.
Yesterday, Mark Meadows, the White House Chief of Staff announced that “we are not going to control the virus.” Yes. Read that again. “We are not going to control the virus.” It’s beyond belief. A virus that *can* be controlled, as has been done in many nations around the world. The White House has just given up on trying to control it because “it’s a contagious virus just like the flu” (emphasis mine). This virus is NOT just like the flu, and the White House knew this in January.
Three days ago, the nation saw its greatest single day of new cases, over 83,000. That followed a day that broke the record THAT day, 72,000. Deaths are still below 1000/day average, but how long do you think it will be before those numbers start jumping?
“We are not going to control the virus.”
The election is in eight days. God, spare us from this pestilence (and I don’t mean the virus).
US cases, 8,970,000 (up 970,000 since Oct. 12, fourteen days ago – 69,300 cases/day average, but as noted, this past weekend spiking up to 83,000 cases/day)
US deaths, 231,000 – (up 11,000 since Oct. 12 – 785 deaths/day average. This daily average will spike within two weeks or less, although the doctors have learned a great deal about mitigating the virus since March, so maybe, maybe…)
Tuesday, October 27, 2020
U.S. cases 9,032,400 (up 62,400 since yesterday)
U.S. deaths 232,000 (up 1000 since yesterday)
Election in seven days
I haven’t focused on the rest of the world recently because the U.S. has been the world’s worst example of handling the virus, and thus the U.S. has the worst record in terms of results. But it should be noted that while most of the rest of the world numbers were down significantly in the summer (while US was having a large upswing), European case numbers are now exceeding US case numbers per capita.
Wednesday, October 28, 2020
U.S. cases 9,120,750 (up 88,350 cases since yesterday)
U.S. deaths 233,130 (up 1130 since yesterday)
Election in six days
Thursday, October 29, 2020
U.S. cases 9,213,000 (up 92,250 cases since yesterday – a new all-time high in the U.S.)
U.S. deaths 234,177 (up 1047 since yesterday – looks like we’re arriving at the 1000/day plateau as a norm now)
Election in five days
Saturday, October 31, 2020
U.S. cases 9,336,000 (up 123,000 since Thursday evening)
U.S. deaths 235,450 (up 1270 since Thursday evening)
Three days
Monday, November 2, 2020
Very frustrating. My entry yesterday, showing, by my memory, 113,000 new cases and 890 new deaths, is not here. I have wanted to keep a careful daily count.
U.S. cases 9,489,450 (up 153,450 since Saturday – 76,725/day average)
U.S. deaths 236,572 (up 1122 since Saturday – 561/day average.
One day
Tuesday, November 3, 2020 – Election Day
U.S. cases 9,571,000 (up 81,550 since yesterday)
U.S. deaths 237,000 (up 428 since yesterday)
Tonight, we find out what our nation is
Thursday, November 5, 2020
As it turns out, we still aren’t sure what our nation is, but Biden should clinch either overnight tonight or tomorrow sometime. Possibly not, but his path to victory seems assured, whenever it happens.
An explosion of new cases.
Two days ago, our first 100,000 case day (104,000). Yesterday, 118,000 cases
Cases: 9,919,500
Deaths: 240,950
Friday, November 6, 2020 – 12:30 p.m.
Yesterday’s totals were from late last night. This is 14 hours later
U.S. deaths 241,291 (up 350)
Saturday, November 7, 202
Joe Biden is declared the winner of the presidential election. Our four-year national nightmare is over. He will be announcing the formation of a coronavirus task force on Monday.
Sunday, November 8, 2020, 8 a.m.
U.S. deaths – 243,290 (up 2000 since Friday noon)
Monday, November 9, 2020 9 a.m.
I’ve done a hasty job for the past several days. The biggest story is the number of new cases skyrocketing. Our charts are going straight up. Way more new cases than anything we’ve seen before, including March and July. Hospitals in parts of the country are beginning to be overwhelmed.
U.S. cases – 10,296,000 (up 376,500 since Thursday – over 100,000 cases per day for the past four days)
U.S. deaths – 243,797 (up 500 since yesterday morning)
Tuesday, November 10, 2020
Explosion of new cases in the past 24 hours.
U.S. cases 10,559,000 (up 263,000 in past 36 hours). 263,000!! Massive day and a half.
U.S. deaths 245,800 (up 2000 in past 36 hours). Biggest one day yet.
We are in trouble. Word from a scientist I heard today: our cases are probably closer to 400,000/day because we simply don’t have the testing we need. So things are much worse than the horrible they already appear to be.
Hospitals in various states are beginning to be overwhelmed. El Paso, Texas is having a nightmare, their morgues so overflowing they’ve had to bring in refrigerated trailer supplements.
The virus creeps closer to our family. Brother-in-law showing all the signs. Tested yesterday. Will almost guarantee he has it. Fran (wife) will certainly follow. The girls are both out of the house.
Wednesday, November 11, 2020
1:30 – U.S. cases 10,628,000 (up 69,000 since last night)
U.S. deaths 246,500 (up 700 since last night)
6:00 – U.S. cases – 10,698,000 (up 139,000 since last evening)
U.S. deaths 247,200 (up 1400 since last evening)
Naperville mayor Steve Chirico (R) says he will not enforce Governor Pritzker’s (D) order to limit numbers of patrons in restaurants. Illinois numbers going through the roof.
Thursday, November 12, 2020
5:30 p.m. – U.S. cases 10,860,400 (up 162,400 since last evening)
U.S. deaths – 248,500 (up 1300 since last evening)
Trump has been invisible since Election Day. Not a word about the virus. States left to fend for theirselves. He had ONE meeting with the WH virus task force, on Monday, and that was only because Biden announced HIS task force that day. VP Mike Pence, the head of the WH task force… left on vacation yesterday. I cannot make this stuff up.
In the meantime, Trump still continues to insist there has been massive election fraud, though there has been zero evidence of it, and he continues to refuse to concede the election. My guess is he’ll never concede.
Saturday, November 14, 2020 – 11:30 a.m.
It took 98 days to go from zero cases to 1 million. It took six days to go from 10 million to 11 million.
U.S. cases 11,115,000 (up 254,600 since Thursday evening 5:30 – 6528 case/hour or 156,676 cases in any 24 hour period of the past 40 hours)
U.S. deaths 250,360 (up 1860 since Thursday evening 5:30 – 1115 in any 24 of the past 40 hours)
Illinois is spiking. We’re on of the worst. The entire upper Midwest is bad.
Sunday, November 15, 2020, 12:30 p.m.
U.S. cases 11,271,800 (up 156,800 in past 24 hours)
U.S. deaths 251,450 (up 1,090 in past 24 hours)
So much emphasis now on the U.S. The rest of the world is also seeing a fall spike, but nothing like the spike we’re having here in the U.S. The virus has been so politicized that I believe it’s now hopeless to get it under control. Too many people deny that it’s a problem. This is unbelievable to any rational person, but our nation has been so heavily influenced now by the irrational that we’re doomed.
This is going to get really bad.
Lois’s brother Ken got his test back yesterday. He’s positive, but feels like he’s over the worst, and his worst symptom was the cough he couldn’t shake.
We lost an old friend, Jim Mizener, to the virus yesterday. In his 80s, retired from DGS, Jim was the PA announcer at our soccer games. Consummate professional who respected our sport as “major” at a time when many did not. Genuinely nice man who took an interest in everyone he met. May he rest in peace.
Monday, November 16, 2020 – 1:30 p.m.
U.S. cases 11,435,600 – up 163,800 since yesterday noon
U.S. deaths 252, 170 – up 720 since yesterday noon
Tuesday, November 17, 2020 – 10 p.m.
U.S. cases 11,695,700 (up 260,100 since yesterday)
U.S. deaths 254,250 – up 2080 since yesterday
Read today that 1 out of every 1000 citizens of North Dakota has now died of the virus.
Brazil, Spain and Belgium still lead us in deaths/million population… but that’s a far cry from where we were back in April/May. And we’re catching up.
President Trump has not met with his White House virus task force in more than five weeks now, and hasn’t said one word about it (let alone a word of sympathy) since losing the election back on the 3rd.
Should point out here that he is refusing to concede the election, which President-Elect Biden won with the same number of Electoral votes as Trump defeated Hillary Clinton with back in ’16. He is claiming (and was claiming it for months *before* the election) that it was rigged. This is a president of the United States, a clear loser, calling into question the very foundation on which our entire nation’s history rests: peaceful transfer of power. He has no idea, nor cares to, of the damage he is doing the very idea of democracy around the world.
Illinois, DuPage County, and Naperville are seeing cases skyrocket now. We continue to be as careful as we can, limiting trips out of the house, keeping our distance from people, wearing masks any time there is contact with another person.
Wednesday, November 18, 2020 – 3:00 p.m.
U.S. cases – 11,824,850, up 128,550 since 10 p.m. last night
U.S. deaths – 255,700, up 1450 since 10 p.m. last night
Thursday, November 19, 2020, 8:30 p.m.
U.S. cases – 12,070,700, up 245,850 since 3 p.m. yesterday. We’re heading into the stratosphere.
U.S. deaths – 258,300, up 2600 since yesterday. Our single most tragic day. Yet.
Since losing the election, Trump has been seen publicly on exactly one occasion, laying a wreath at the Tomb of the Unknown Soldier on November 11 (These would be the very people he called “losers” and “suckers”. I wanted God to strike him dead on the spot).
Saturday, November 21, 2020 – 3:00 p.m.
U.S. cases – 12,415,750 – up 345,050 in past 48 hours (172,525 per day)
U.S. deaths – 261,600 – up 3300 in past 48 hours (1650 per day)
Sunday, November 22, 2020, 10:30 p.m.
U.S. cases – 12,588,700, up 173,000 in past 32 hours
U.S. deaths – 262,700, up 1100 in past 32 hours
Monday, November 23, 2020 – 3:00 p.m.
U.S. cases 12,701,700, up 113,000 since last evening
U.S. deaths 263,300, up 600 since last evening (a decline!)
Got word today that my brother-in-law, Don Duff, in his 80s and healthy, has a cough and a 99.5 fever. He’s getting tested. Praying.
Tuesday, November 24, 2020 – 6:30 p.m.
U.S. cases 12,949,200, up 247,500 since yesterday 3:00 p.m
U.S. deaths 265,850, up 2550 since yesterday 3:00 p.m. We’re breaking records every day now.
Today, the Trump administration officially allowed the Biden transition team access to all the materials they will need to have an orderly transition to January 20. It’s shameful they waited this long. Trump still has not conceded, and his millions of Twitter followers are getting dozens of emails every day claiming the election was stolen (and please send money). This is so destructive to the essence of democracy. I don’t know how we ever have an undisputed election again. Maybe Trump was an aberration: such a disgusting human being that we’ll never see the likes of him again. Or… maybe not.
Wednesday, November 25, 2020 – 2:00 p.m
U.S. cases 13,075,000, up 125,800 since 3:00 yesterday
U.S. deaths 267,500, up 1650 since yesterday.
Going into the Thanksgiving weekend, millions of Americans seem to just be ignoring the problem and traveling to be with extended family. Airports are crowded, highways crowded. Less than normal, but still waaay too much for the time we’re in. It’s like Americans assume the Covid restrictions apply to someone else.
They call it Covid Fatigue: we’re just too tired of it all and want to get back to normal, so we just are. Hang the consequences. Add this to the number of Trump Covid/Science deniers and they say this weekend could be the superspreader event of superspreader events. We’ll know in about two weeks time.
Saturday, November 28, 2020 – 5:45 p.m.
U.S. cases 13,605,000, up 655,800 since Wed aft. (218,600/day average)
U.S. deaths 272,250, up 4750 since Wed. aft. (1580/day average)
U.S. hospitals are reaching critical mass in many states. Rural areas, which have small hospitals with few or no ICU beds are being strained to the maximum.
Sunday, November 29, 2020
U.S. cases 13,750,400, up 135,400 since 5:45 p.m. yesterday
U.S. deaths 273,100, up 850 since yesterday. (Down. A trend, or a blip?)
Thursday, December 3, 2020 – 3:30 p.m.
So discouraging. America has no discipline. The Democratic mayors of San Francisco, Austin TX and the Democratic governor of California all traveled to family gatherings over Thanksgiving after telling the citizens they govern that they must stay home and not visit family. So hypocritical. WHAT are they THINKING??? Terrible role modeling, and just leading more and more Americans to ignore the obvious: this pandemic is killing us in growing numbers.
Yesterday, the number of dead in the 24-hour period was 2800. Today it looks like that number will be exceeded, and by next week that number may be a distant memory. NONE of this had to happen.
And Trump continues to not only recognize the disease or those who have died in any way, but he refuses to concede the election, is adamant that it was stolen from him and that he won by millions of votes. It’s beyond belief.
More cases, more deaths, more hospitalizations today than our peak day in April.
U.S. cases 14,476,300, up 725,900 since Sunday (181,475 new cases/day av.)
U.S. deaths 282,000, up 8900 since Sunday (2225/day average)
Friday, December 4, 2020 – 9 p.m.
U.S. cases 14,772,535, up 296,200 since yesterday. WHOA
U.S. deaths 285,550, up 3550 since yesterday.
Saturday, December 5, 2020, 11:15 p.m.
U.S. cases 14,983,400, up 210,865 since yesterday evening
U.S. deaths 287,800, up 2250 since yesterday evening
Friday, December 11, 2020, 6:30 p.m.
It’s been a very bad week. The worst yet. And it will get worse over the next three months.
First, the good news. The FDA today has authorized the use of the Pfizer vaccine, which will begin to be put into people’s arms within another week. Other vaccine makers will join, and the hope is that by mid-spring (maybe at the earliest), we may start to see the vanquishing of this pandemic. Great Britain began vaccinating yesterday, and most of the rest of the world will follow soon.
The bad news. We are now averaging over 3000 deaths per day, and that number will climb to… well, we just don’t know, before this is over. Hospitals in many states now are reporting shortages of ICU beds and First Responder staff are exhausted.
The worst areas, of course, are Trump Country, where they have followed his lead in denial of the most basic safety measures in response to the virus, most notably, the simple act of wearing a mask. Trump will be remembered in history for this, the most reckless act of his reckless presidency. An act that cost anywhere from 100,000-200,000 needless deaths of his countrymen.
In other news today, the Supreme Court refused to hear a case filed by the Texas states attorney general and signed onto by 17 other states as well as 106 Republican Congressmen, that attempted to overthrow the results of the presidential election in the states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, Georgia and Arizona. You read that right: one state suing another state for… doing exactly what the Constitution says states have the right to do – determining how they will run their election. The case was thrown out without a hearing, and with no objecting statements by any Justice. This would be laughable except for the fact of the great damage it is doing to American and world democracy.
U.S. cases – 16, 261,000, up 1,277,600 in the past six days (213,000 new cases/day)
U.S. deaths – 302,500, up 14,700 in the past six days (2450 new deaths/day)
Get ready. It’s going to be a grim few months.
Sunday, December 13, 2020 – 6:00 p.m.
U.S. cases – 16,726,800, up 465,800 since Friday 6 p.m. (233,000/day)
We have jumped one million cases just in the past week.
Michelle called last night. She thinks she has it… apparently again. Thinks she may have gotten it through the ventilation system of her apartment, as the couple in the flat below her are both positive. She’s feeling much worse than first time. Can you get it twice?
My brother-in-law Don, in his 80s, had it but has apparently recovered. I’m still holding my breath.
We lost another former colleague yesterday. Scott Helton, currently the superintendent in Dist. 88, got the Covid two weeks ago, then suffered a life-ending stroke.
We lost Alene Ackerman, 57 years old, a secondary Covid victim. She began feeling sick and weak in mid-June. Covid meant no doctor visit. They called, he said ‘get tested and if you don’t feel better in six weeks, call me’. She and Mark got tested. Negative. Still felt crappy. Getting weaker. Got tested again. Negative. Finally called the doctor back in late July. Went in, got blood tests. Pancreatic cancer, spread all over. Alene died the Tuesday before Thanksgiving. We couldn’t visit her, couldn’t visit Mark, couldn’t attend a funeral.
U.S. deaths 306,400, up 3900 since Friday 6 p.m. (1950/day)
This is a little better, but it’s still the equivalent of seven jumbo jets going down every day.
Trump, meanwhile, continues to insist he won the election. There were mass rallies in Washington, D.C. Saturday in support of him. He will be the reason a significant portion of the nation will refuse to get the vaccine.
Tuesday, December 15, 2020 – 6:30 p.m.
U.S. cases 17,134,000, up 407.200 since Sunday, 6 p.m. (203,600/day av.)
U.S. deaths 310,800, up 4400 since Sunday 6 p.m. (2200/day av.)
Trump’s White House security chief contracted the Covid in September, and recently had his lower leg amputated. The family is broke and started a GoFundMe page to help with expenses. They have not heard a word from Trump, who with 80M Twitter followers could do a lot to help him. (“The WH security chief just had to have his leg amputated. Let’s chip in $1 each to help him out.”) Particularly infuriating when you realize how many WH personnel were exposed to the virus due to Trump and his staff refusing to follow protocols in the WH. You were perceived as being against Trump if you wore a mask.
Thursday, January 14, 2021
It’s been a month. A very bad month. Both for the covid and politically. More later on the political.
But covid is running wild, not to anyone but a Covid-denier’s surprise. (Of course, the Covid deniers deny there’s Covid, so it’s all good by them).
U.S. cases – 23,850,000, up 6,716,000 in the past month
U.S. deaths – 398,000, up 87,200 (average of 2900/day since Dec. 15, but more importantly, averaging 4000/day for the past seven straight days). The current estimates by the CDC are that we will lose 100,000 more lives in the next month.
The U.S. leads the world in cases and deaths, which is why you haven’t seen too much other than US numbers recently. We are an international disaster AND embarrassment.
August 16, 2021
I simply had to stop writing. On January 6, thousands of Trump supporters stormed the US Capitol in an attempt to overthrow the results of the 2020 election. They were chanting to kill Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi (D) and Vice President Mike Pence (R), who was presiding over the official Senate vote confirming the 2020 election results. They came close to getting both of them, but were eventually driven back.
Between this insurrection, the most serious against the United States since the Civil War, and the ever-increasing Covid numbers, I was just worn out.
But Joe Biden, the new president, began following the scientists, urging vaccinations, and organizing an amazing vaccination drive that by the end of May sees almost half the US population vaccinated now.
But the bad news is that we needed to have a 70% vaccination rate to reach herd immunity. Why the low rate when the vaccine was available on every corner by the end of May?
Because the vaccine, like the virus, got politicized by the Republican Party. This will be a permanent stain on their legacy. It’s almost beyond comprehension, but this is actually the country we live in now: a country that wiped out one disease after another after another (smallpox to polio) and now tens of millions of Americans believe someone on YouTube rather than epidemiologists who have spent their lives studying virus behaviors.
It’s Biblical.
Because of these willfully ignorant Americans (no other nation on earth has this problem to this degree), the virus has now been able to take hold again, mutating into what is being called “D Variant”.
The states of Texas and Florida, the capitals of our national ignorance, led by governors who are not just not promoting masking but passing executive orders that schools that mandate masks for their students will lose their state funding.
If you’re reading this in the future (if there is one), you may find it hard to believe what you’re reading, but it’s true.
As of today:
US deaths: 639,000 (probably 400,000+ absolutely unnecessary)
75,000 new cases today
264 deaths today
























































































































